Timothy B. Armstrong

  1. On the Asymptotic Distribution of Variance Weighted KS Statistics.

    Authors: Timothy B. Armstrong
    Subjects: Methodology
    Abstract

    This paper derives the asymptotic distribution of variance weighted
    Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistics for conditional moment inequality models for the
    case of a one dimensional covariate. The asymptotic distribution depends on the
    data generating process only through the variance of a single random variable,
    leading to critical values that can be calculated analytically. By arguments in
    Armstrong (2011b), the resulting tests achieve the best minimax rate for local
    alternatives out of available approaches in a broad class of settings.

  2. Weighted KS Statistics for Inference on Conditional Moment Inequalities.

    Authors: Timothy B. Armstrong
    Subjects: Applications
    Abstract

    This paper proposes confidence regions for the identified set in conditional
    moment inequality models using Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistics with a truncated
    inverse variance weighting with increasing truncation points. The new weighting
    differs from those proposed in the literature in two important ways. First,
    confidence regions based on KS tests with the weighting function I propose
    converge to the identified set at a faster rate than existing procedures based
    on bounded weight functions in a broad class of models.

  3. Asymptotically Exact Inference in Conditional Moment Inequality Models.

    Authors: Timothy B. Armstrong
    Subjects: Applications
    Abstract

    This paper derives the rate of convergence and asymptotic distribution for a
    class of Kolmogorov-Smirnov style test statistics for conditional moment
    inequality models for parameters on the boundary of the identified set under
    general conditions. In contrast to other moment inequality settings, the rate
    of convergence is faster than root-$n$, and the asymptotic distribution depends
    entirely on nonbinding moments. The results require the development of new
    techniques that draw a connection between moment selection, irregular
    identification, bandwidth selection and nonstandard M-estimation.

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