Tucker McElroy

  1. Incompatibility of trends in multi-year estimates from the American Community Survey.

    Authors: Tucker McElroy
    Subjects: Applications
    Abstract

    The American Community Survey (ACS) provides one-year (1y), three-year (3y)
    and five-year (5y) multi-year estimates (MYEs) of various demographic and
    economic variables for each "community", although the 1y and 3y may not be
    available for communities with a small population. These survey estimates are
    not truly measuring the same quantities, since they each cover different time
    spans. Using some simplistic models, we demonstrate that comparing different
    period-length MYEs results in spurious conclusions about trend movements.

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