Gavin J. Gibson

  1. Inference and Optimal Design for Nearest-Neighbour Interaction Models.

    Authors: Andrei Iu. Bejan, Gavin J. Gibson, Stan Zachary
    Subjects: Applications
    Abstract

    We consider problems of Bayesian inference for a spatial epidemic on a graph,
    where the final state of the epidemic corresponds to bond percolation, and
    where only the set or number of finally infected sites is observed. We develop
    appropriate Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms, demonstrating their
    effectiveness, and we study problems of optimal experimental design. In
    particular, we demonstrate that for lattice-based processes an experiment on a
    sparsified lattice can yield more information on model parameters than one
    conducted on a complete lattice.

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