D. Commenges

  1. Modeling the dynamics of biomarkers during primary HIV infection taking into account the uncertainty of infection date.

    Authors: D. Commenges, J. Drylewicz, J. Guedj, R. Thiébaut
    Subjects: Applications
    Abstract

    During primary HIV infection, the kinetics of plasma virus concentrations and
    CD4+ cell counts is very complex. Parametric and nonparametric models have been
    suggested for fitting repeated measurements of these markers. Alternatively,
    mechanistic approaches based on ordinary differential equations have also been
    proposed. These latter models are constructed according to biological knowledge
    and take into account the complex nonlinear interactions between viruses and
    cells. However, estimating the parameters of these models is difficult.

  2. Inference in HIV dynamics models via hierarchical likelihood.

    Authors: D. Commenges, D. Jolly, H. Putter, R. Thiebaut
    Subjects: Statistics
    Abstract

    HIV dynamical models are often based on non-linear systems of ordinary
    differential equations (ODE), which do not have analytical solution.
    Introducing random effects in such models leads to very challenging non-linear
    mixed-effects models. To avoid the numerical computation of multiple integrals
    involved in the likelihood, we propose a hierarchical likelihood (h-likelihood)
    approach, treated in the spirit of a penalized likelihood. We give the
    asymptotic distribution of the maximum h-likelihood estimators (MHLE) for fixed
    effects, a result that may be relevant in a more general setting.

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