Josef Teichmann

  1. Consistent Long-Term Yield Curve Prediction.

    Authors: Josef Teichmann, Mario V. Wüthrich
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We present an arbitrage-free non-parametric yield curve prediction model
    which takes the full (discretized) yield curve as state variable. We believe
    that absence of arbitrage is an important model feature in case of highly
    correlated data, as it is the case for interest rates. Furthermore, the model
    structure allows to separate clearly the tasks of estimating the volatility
    structure and of calibrating market prices of risk. The empirical part includes
    tests on modeling assumptions, back testing and a comparison with the
    Vasi\v{c}ek short rate model.

  2. Efficient simulation and calibration of general HJM models by splitting schemes.

    Authors: Josef Teichmann, Philipp Doersek
    Subjects: Probability
    Abstract

    We introduce efficient numerical methods for generic HJM equations of
    interest rate theory by means of high-order weak approximation schemes. These
    schemes allow for QMC implementations due to the relatively low dimensional
    integration space. The complexity of the resulting algorithm is considerably
    lower than the complexity of multi-level MC algorithms as long as the optimal
    order of QMC-convergence is guaranteed.

  3. Path properties and regularity of affine processes on general state spaces.

    Authors: Josef Teichmann, Christa Cuchiero
    Subjects: Probability
    Abstract

    We provide a new proof for regularity of affine processes on general state
    spaces by methods from the theory of Markovian semimartingales. On the way to
    this result we also show that the definition of an affine process, namely as
    stochastically continuous time-homogeneous Markov process with exponential
    affine Fourier-Laplace transform, already implies the existence of a c\`adl\`ag
    version. This was one of the last open issues in the fundaments of affine
    processes.

  4. A Semigroup Point Of View On Splitting Schemes For Stochastic (Partial) Differential Equations.

    Authors: Josef Teichmann, Philipp Doersek
    Subjects: Probability
    Abstract

    We construct normed spaces of real-valued functions with controlled growth on
    possibly infinite-dimensional state spaces such that semigroups of positive,
    bounded operators $(P_t)_{t\ge 0}$ thereon with $\lim_{t\to 0+}P_t f(x)=f(x)$
    are in fact strongly continuous. This result applies to prove optimal rates of
    convergence of splitting schemes for stochastic (partial) differential
    equations with linearly growing characteristics and for sets of functions with
    controlled growth. Applications are general Da Prato-Zabczyk type equations and
    the HJM equations from interest rate theory.

  5. A new approach to LIBOR modeling.

    Authors: Josef Teichmann, Antonis Papapantoleon, Martin Keller-Ressel
    Subjects: Probability
    Abstract

    We provide a general and flexible approach to LIBOR modeling based on the
    class of affine factor processes. Our approach respects the basic economic
    requirement that LIBOR rates are non-negative, and the basic requirement from
    mathematical finance that LIBOR rates are analytically tractable martingales
    with respect to their own forward measure. Additionally, and most importantly,
    our approach also leads to analytically tractable expressions of multi-LIBOR
    payoffs. This approach unifies therefore the advantages of well-known forward
    price models with those of classical LIBOR rate models.

  6. Jump-Diffusions in Hilbert Spaces: Existence, Stability and Numerics.

    Authors: Josef Teichmann, Damir Filipovic, Stefan Tappe
    Subjects: Probability
    Abstract

    By means of an original approach, called "method of the moving frame", we
    establish existence, uniqueness and stability results for mild and weak
    solutions of stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) with path
    dependent coefficients driven by an infinite dimensional Wiener process and a
    compensated Poisson random measure. Our approach is based on a time-dependent
    coordinate transform, which reduces a wide class of SPDEs to a class of simpler
    SDE problems.

  7. A new extrapolation method for weak approximation schemes with applications.

    Authors: Josef Teichmann, Kojiro Oshima, Dejan Veluscek
    Subjects: Probability
    Abstract

    We review Fujiwara's scheme, a sixth order weak approximation scheme for the
    numerical approximation of SDEs, and embed it into a general method to
    construct weak approximation schemes of order $ 2m $ for $ m \in \mathbf{N} $.
    Those schemes cannot be seen as cubature schemes, but rather as universal ways
    how to extrapolate from a lower order weak approximation scheme, namely the
    Ninomiya-Victoir scheme, for higher orders.

  8. A remark on Gatheral's 'most-likely path approximation' of implied volatility.

    Authors: Josef Teichmann, Martin Keller-Ressel
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We give a rigorous proof of the representation of implied volatility as a
    time-average of weighted expectations of local or stochastic volatility. With
    this proof we fix the problem of a circular definition in the original
    derivation of Gatheral, who introduced this implied volatility representation
    in his book 'The Volatility Surface'.

  9. A Heat Kernel Approach to Interest Rate Models.

    Authors: Josef Teichmann, Jiro Akahori, Yuji Hishida, Takahiro Tsuchiya
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We construct default-free interest rate models in the spirit of the
    well-known Markov funcional models: our focus is analytic tractability of the
    models and generality of the approach. We work in the setting of state price
    densities and construct models by means of the so called propagation property.
    The propagation property can be found implicitly in all of the popular state
    price density approaches, in particular heat kernels share the propagation
    property (wherefrom we deduced the name of the approach). As a related matter,
    an interesting property of heat kernels is presented, too.

  10. Affine processes on positive semidefinite matrices.

    Authors: Josef Teichmann, Christa Cuchiero, Damir Filipović, Eberhard Mayerhofer
    Subjects: Probability
    Abstract

    This paper provides the mathematical foundation for stochastically continuous
    affine processes on the cone of positive semidefinite symmetric matrices. These
    matrix-valued affine processes have arisen from a large and growing range of
    useful applications in finance, including multi-asset option pricing with
    stochastic volatility and correlation structures, and fixed-income models with
    stochastically correlated risk factors and default intensities.

  11. Affine processes on positive semidefinite matrices.

    Authors: Josef Teichmann, Christa Cuchiero, Damir Filipović, Eberhard Mayerhofer
    Subjects: Probability
    Abstract

    This paper provides the mathematical foundation for stochastically continuous
    affine processes on the cone of positive semidefinite symmetric matrices. These
    matrix-valued affine processes have arisen from a large and growing range of
    useful applications in finance, including multi-asset option pricing with
    stochastic volatility and correlation structures, and fixed-income models with
    stochastically correlated risk factors and default intensities.

  12. Another approach to some rough and stochastic partial differential equations.

    Authors: Josef Teichmann
    Subjects: Probability
    Abstract

    In this note we introduce a new approach to rough and stochastic partial
    differential equations (RPDEs and SPDEs): we consider general Banach spaces as
    state spaces and -- for the sake of simiplicity -- finite dimensional sources
    of noise, either rough or stochastic. By means of a time-dependent
    transformation of state space and rough path theory we are able to construct
    unique solutions of the respective R- and SPDEs.

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