We mathematically prove that an existing linear predictor of baseball teams'
winning percentages (Jones and Tappin 2005) is simply just a first-order
approximation to Bill James' Pythagorean Won-Loss formula and can thus be
written in terms of the formula's well-known exponent. We estimate the linear
model on twenty seasons of Major League Baseball data and are able to verify
that the resulting coefficient estimate, with 95% confidence, is virtually
identical to the empirically accepted value of 1.82.
The purpose of this note is to discuss the real analogue of the Schwarz lemma
from complex analysis.
Zeckendorf proved that every positive integer has a unique representation as
a sum of non-consecutive Fibonacci numbers. Once this has been shown, it's
natural to ask how many summands are needed. Using a continued fraction
approach, Lekkerkerker proved that the average number of such summands needed
for integers in $[F_n, F_{n+1})$ is $n / (\varphi^2 + 1) + O(1)$, where
$\varphi = \frac{1+\sqrt{5}}2$ is the golden mean. Surprisingly, no one appears
to have investigated the distribution of the number of summands; our main
result is that this converges to a Gaussian as $n\to\infty$.
A beautiful theorem of Zeckendorf states that every integer can be written
uniquely as a sum of non-consecutive Fibonacci numbers
$\{F_n\}_{n=1}^{\infty}$. Lekkerkerker proved that the average number of
summands for integers in $[F_n, F_{n+1})$ is $n/(\varphi^2 + 1)$, with
$\varphi$ the golden mean.
We provide effective bounds on the family of all elliptic curves and
one-parameter families of elliptic curves modulo p (for p prime tending to
infinity) obeying the Sato-Tate Law. We save a logarithm for all elliptic
curves, and obtain a power saving for the one-parameter families.
One of the most important statistics in studying the zeros of L-functions is
the 1-level density, which measures the concentration of zeros near the central
point. Fouvry and Iwaniec [FI] proved that the 1-level density for L-functions
attached to imaginary quadratic fields agrees with results predicted by random
matrix theory. In this paper, we show a similar agreement with random matrix
theory occurring in more general sequences of number fields.
Recently Conrey, Farmer, and Zirnbauer developed the L-functions Ratios
conjecture, which gives a recipe that predicts a wealth of statistics, from
moments to spacings between adjacent zeros and values of L-functions. The
problem with this method is that several of its steps involve ignoring error
terms of size comparable to the main term; amazingly, the errors seem to cancel
and the resulting prediction is expected to be accurate up to square-root
cancellation.
We generalize Tennenbaum's geometric proof (popularized by Conway) of the
irrationality of sqrt(2) to sqrt(n) for n = 3, 5, 6 and 10.
In this article, we discuss the remarkable connection between two very
different fields, number theory and nuclear physics. We describe the essential
aspects of these fields, the quantities studied, and how insights in one have
been fruitfully applied in the other. The exciting branch of modern
mathematics, random matrix theory, provides the connection between the two
fields.
The Ratios Conjecture of Conrey, Farmer and Zirnbauer predicts the answers to
numerous questions in number theory, ranging from n-level densities and
correlations to mollifiers to moments and vanishing at the central point. The
conjecture gives a recipe to generate these answers, which are believed to be
correct up to square-root cancelation. These predictions have been verified,
for suitably restricted test functions, for the 1-level density of orthogonal
and symplectic families of L-functions.