Simone Pigolotti

  1. Rational and actual behavior in lowest unique bid auctions.

    Authors: Simone Pigolotti, Pierpaolo Vivo, Sebastian Bernhardsson, Jeppe Juul, Gorm Galster
    Subjects: Computer Science and Game Theory
    Abstract

    In lowest unique bid auctions, N players bid for an item. The winner is
    whoever places the \emph{lowest} bid, provided that it is also unique. We
    derive an analytical expression for the equilibrium distribution of the game as
    a function of N and study its properties, which are then compared with a large
    dataset of internet auctions. The empirical collective strategy reproduces the
    theoretical equilibrium with striking accuracy for small N, while for larger N
    the quality of the fit deteriorates.

  2. Self-consistent method for density estimation.

    Authors: Alberto Bernacchia, Simone Pigolotti
    Subjects: Methodology
    Abstract

    The estimation of a density profile from experimental data points is a
    challenging problem, usually tackled by plotting a histogram. Prior assumptions
    on the nature of the density, from its smoothness to the specification of its
    form, allow the design of accurate estimation procedures, such as Maximum
    Likelihood. Our aim is to construct a procedure that makes the smallest
    possible number of assumptions, but still providing an accurate estimate of the
    density.

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