In lowest unique bid auctions, N players bid for an item. The winner is
whoever places the \emph{lowest} bid, provided that it is also unique. We
derive an analytical expression for the equilibrium distribution of the game as
a function of N and study its properties, which are then compared with a large
dataset of internet auctions. The empirical collective strategy reproduces the
theoretical equilibrium with striking accuracy for small N, while for larger N
the quality of the fit deteriorates.
The estimation of a density profile from experimental data points is a
challenging problem, usually tackled by plotting a histogram. Prior assumptions
on the nature of the density, from its smoothness to the specification of its
form, allow the design of accurate estimation procedures, such as Maximum
Likelihood. Our aim is to construct a procedure that makes the smallest
possible number of assumptions, but still providing an accurate estimate of the
density.