Marcel Nutz

  1. Constructing Sublinear Expectations on Path Space.

    Authors: Ramon van Handel, Marcel Nutz
    Subjects: Probability
    Abstract

    We provide a general construction of time-consistent sublinear expectations
    on the space of continuous paths. It yields the existence of the conditional
    G-expectation of a Borel-measurable (rather than quasi-continuous) random
    variable, a generalization of the random G-expectation, and an optional
    sampling theorem that holds without exceptional set. Our results also shed
    light on the inherent limitations to constructing sublinear expectations
    through aggregation.

  2. A Quasi-Sure Approach to the Control of Non-Markovian Stochastic Differential Equations.

    Authors: Marcel Nutz
    Subjects: Probability
    Abstract

    We study stochastic differential equations (SDEs) whose drift and diffusion
    coefficients are path-dependent and controlled. We construct a value process on
    the canonical path space, considered simultaneously under a family of singular
    measures, rather than the usual family of processes indexed by the controls.
    This value process is characterized by a second order backward SDE, which can
    be seen as a non-Markovian analogue of the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman partial
    differential equation. Moreover, our value process yields a generalization of
    the G-expectation to the context of SDEs.

  3. Weak Dynamic Programming for Generalized State Constraints.

    Authors: Marcel Nutz, Bruno Bouchard
    Subjects: Optimization and Control
    Abstract

    We provide a dynamic programming principle for stochastic optimal control
    problems with expectation constraints. A weak formulation, using test functions
    and a probabilistic relaxation of the constraint, avoids restrictions related
    to a measurable selection but still implies the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman
    equation in the viscosity sense. We treat open state constraints as a special
    case of expectation constraints and prove a comparison theorem to obtain the
    equation for closed state constraints.

  4. Superhedging and Dynamic Risk Measures under Volatility Uncertainty.

    Authors: Marcel Nutz, H. Mete Soner
    Subjects: Risk Management
    Abstract

    We consider dynamic sublinear expectations (i.e., time-consistent coherent
    risk measures) whose scenario sets consist of singular measures corresponding
    to a general form of volatility uncertainty. We derive a c\`adl\`ag nonlinear
    martingale which is also the value process of a superhedging problem. The
    superhedging strategy is obtained from a representation similar to the optional
    decomposition. Furthermore, we prove an optional sampling theorem for the
    nonlinear martingale and characterize it as the solution of a second order
    backward SDE.

  5. Random G-Expectations.

    Authors: Marcel Nutz
    Subjects: Probability
    Abstract

    We construct a time-consistent sublinear expectation in the setting of
    volatility uncertainty. This mapping extends Peng's G-expectation by allowing
    the range of the volatility uncertainty to be stochastic. Our construction is
    purely probabilistic and based on an optimal control formulation with
    path-dependent control sets.

  6. Small-Time Asymptotics of Option Prices and First Absolute Moments.

    Authors: Johannes Muhle-Karbe, Marcel Nutz
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We study the leading term in the small-time asymptotics of at-the-money call
    option prices when the stock price process $S$ follows a general martingale.
    This is equivalent to studying the first centered absolute moment of $S$. We
    show that if $S$ has a continuous part, the leading term is of order $\sqrt{T}$
    in time $T$ and depends only on the initial value of the volatility.
    Furthermore, the term is linear in $T$ if and only if $S$ is of finite
    variation.

  7. Power Utility Maximization in Constrained Exponential L\'evy Models.

    Authors: Marcel Nutz
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    We study power utility maximization for exponential L\'evy models with
    portfolio constraints, where utility is obtained from consumption and/or
    terminal wealth. For convex constraints, an explicit solution in terms of the
    L\'evy triplet is constructed under minimal assumptions by solving the Bellman
    equation. We use a novel transformation of the model to avoid technical
    conditions. The consequences for q-optimal martingale measures are discussed as
    well as extensions to non-convex constraints.

  8. The Bellman Equation for Power Utility Maximization with Semimartingales.

    Authors: Marcel Nutz
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    We study utility maximization for power utility random fields with and
    without intermediate consumption in a general semimartingale model with closed
    portfolio constraints. We show that any optimal strategy leads to a solution of
    the corresponding Bellman equation. The optimal strategies are described
    pointwise in terms of the opportunity process, which is characterized as the
    minimal solution of the Bellman equation. We also give verification theorems
    for this equation.

  9. The Opportunity Process for Optimal Consumption and Investment with Power Utility.

    Authors: Marcel Nutz
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    We study the utility maximization problem for power utility random fields in
    a semimartingale financial market, with and without intermediate consumption.
    The notion of an opportunity process is introduced as a reduced form of the
    value process of the resulting stochastic control problem. We show how the
    opportunity process describes the key objects: optimal consumption, value
    function, and dual problem. The results are applied to obtain monotonicity
    properties of the optimal consumption.

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