Surya T. Tokdar

  1. Dimension adaptability of Gaussian process models with variable selection and projection.

    Authors: Surya T. Tokdar
    Subjects: Statistics
    Abstract

    It is now known that an extended Gaussian process model equipped with
    rescaling can adapt to different smoothness levels of a function valued
    parameter in many nonparametric Bayesian analyses, offering a posterior
    convergence rate that is optimal (up to logarithmic factors) for the smoothness
    class the true function belongs to. This optimal rate also depends on the
    dimension of the function's domain and one could potentially obtain a faster
    rate of convergence by casting the analysis in a lower dimensional subspace
    that does not amount to any loss of information about the true function.

  2. Semiparametric inference in mixture models with predictive recursion marginal likelihood.

    Authors: Surya T. Tokdar, Ryan Martin
    Subjects: Methodology
    Abstract

    Predictive recursion is an accurate and computationally efficient algorithm
    for nonparametric estimation of mixing densities in mixture models. In
    semiparametric mixture models, however, the algorithm fails to account for any
    uncertainty in the additional unknown structural parameter. As an alternative
    to existing profile likelihood methods, we treat predictive recursion as a
    filter approximation to fitting a fully Bayes model, whereby an approximate
    marginal likelihood of the structural parameter emerges and can be used for
    inference.

  3. Consistency of a recursive estimate of mixing distributions.

    Authors: Surya T. Tokdar, Ryan Martin, Jayanta K. Ghosh
    Subjects: gr. Statistics
    Abstract

    Mixture models have received considerable attention recently and Newton
    [Sankhy\={a} Ser. A 64 (2002) 306--322] proposed a fast recursive algorithm for
    estimating a mixing distribution. We prove almost sure consistency of this
    recursive estimate in the weak topology under mild conditions on the family of
    densities being mixed. This recursive estimate depends on the data ordering and
    a permutation-invariant modification is proposed, which is an average of the
    original over permutations of the data sequence.

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