David Balduzzi

  1. Quantifying causal influences.

    Authors: Dominik Janzing, Bernhard Schoelkopf, David Balduzzi, Moritz Grosse-Wentrup
    Subjects: Statistics
    Abstract

    Common methods of causal inference generate directed acyclic graphs (DAGs)
    that formalize causal relations between n variables. Given the joint
    distribution of all these variables, the DAG contains all information about how
    intervening on one variable would change the distribution of the other n-1
    variables. It remains, however, a non-trivial question how to quantify the
    causal influence of one variable on another one.

  2. Falsification and future performance.

    Authors: David Balduzzi
    Subjects: Machine Learning
    Abstract

    We information-theoretically reformulate two measures of capacity from
    statistical learning theory: empirical VC-entropy and empirical Rademacher
    complexity. We show these capacity measures count the number of hypotheses
    about a dataset that a learning algorithm falsifies when it finds the
    classifier in its repertoire minimizing empirical risk. It then follows from
    that the future performance of predictors on unseen data is controlled in part
    by how many hypotheses the learner falsifies.

  3. Information, learning and falsification.

    Authors: David Balduzzi
    Subjects: Information Theory
    Abstract

    Broadly speaking, there are two approaches to quantifying information. The
    first, Shannon information, takes events as belonging to ensembles and
    quantifies the information resulting from observing the given event in terms of
    the number of alternate events that have been ruled out. The second,
    algorithmic information or Kolmogorov complexity, takes events as strings and,
    given a universal Turing machine, quantifies the information content of a
    string as the length of the shortest program producing it.

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