Nikolas Kantas

  1. Bayesian Parameter Inference for Partially Observed Stopped Processes.

    Authors: Ajay Jasra, Nikolas Kantas
    Subjects: Computation
    Abstract

    In this article we consider Bayesian parameter inference associated to
    partially-observed stochastic processes that start from a set B0 and are
    stopped or killed at the first hitting time of a known set A. Such processes
    occur naturally within the context of a wide variety of applications. The
    associated posterior distributions are highly complex and posterior parameter
    inference requires the use of advanced Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)
    techniques. Our approach uses a recently introduced simulation methodology,
    particle Markov chain Monte Carlo (PMCMC) (Andrieu et. al.

  2. Linear Variance Bounds for Particle Approximations of Time-Homogeneous Feynman-Kac Formulae.

    Authors: Ajay Jasra, Nick Whiteley, Nikolas Kantas
    Subjects: Computation
    Abstract

    This article establishes sufficient conditions for a linear-in-time bound on
    the non-asymptotic variance of particle approximations of time-homogeneous
    Feynman-Kac formulae. These formulae appear in a wide variety of applications
    including option pricing in finance and risk sensitive control in engineering.
    In direct Monte Carlo approximation of these formulae, the non-asymptotic
    variance typically increases at an exponential rate in the time parameter.

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