Pricing of Securities

  1. A tractable LIBOR model with default risk.

    Authors: Antonis Papapantoleon, Zorana Grbac
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We develop a model for the dynamic evolution of default-free and defaultable
    interest rates in a LIBOR framework. Utilizing the class of affine processes,
    this model produces positive LIBOR rates and spreads, while the dynamics are
    analytically tractable under defaultable forward measures. This leads to
    explicit formulas for CDS spreads, while semi-analytical formulas are derived
    for other credit derivatives. Finally, we give an application to counterparty
    risk.

  2. Withdrawal Guarantees - A Semi-Static Hedging Approach.

    Authors: Andreas Kunz
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    Withdrawal guarantees ensure the periodical deduction of a constant
    dollar-amount from a fund investment for a fixed number of periods. If the fund
    depletes before the last withdrawal, the guarantor has to finance the
    outstanding withdrawals. We derive an explicit semi-static hedging strategy
    which leads to closed form solutions for the guarantee value.

  3. Conservative delta hedging under transaction costs.

    Authors: Masaaki Fukasawa
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    Explicit robust hedging strategies for convex or concave payoffs under a
    continuous semimartingale model with uncertainty and small transaction costs
    are constructed. In an asymptotic sense, the upper and lower bounds of the
    cumulative volatility enable us to super-hedge convex and concave payoffs
    respectively. The idea is a combination of Mykland's conservative delta hedging
    and Leland's enlarging volatility. We use a specific sequence of stopping times
    as rebalancing dates, which can be superior to equidistant one even when there
    is no model uncertainty.

  4. The Impact of the Prior Density on a Minimum Relative Entropy Density: A Case Study with SPX Option Data.

    Authors: C. Neri, L. Schneider
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We study the problem of finding probability densities that match given
    European call option prices. To allow prior information about such a density to
    be taken into account, we generalise the algorithm presented in Neri and
    Schneider (2011) to find the maximum entropy density of an asset price to the
    relative entropy case. This is applied to study the impact the choice of prior
    density has in two market scenarios.

  5. A Simplified Approach to modeling the credit-risk of CMO.

    Authors: K. Rajaratnam
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    The credit crisis of 2007 and 2008 has thrown much focus on the models used
    to price mortgage backed securities. Many institutions have relied heavily on
    the credit ratings provided by credit agency. The relationships between
    management of credit agencies and debt issuers may have resulted in conflict of
    interest when pricing these securities which has lead to incorrect risk
    assumptions and value expectations from institutional buyers. Despite the
    existence of sophisticated models, institutional buyers have relied on these
    ratings when considering the risks involved with these products.

  6. Smiles all around: FX joint calibration in a multi-Heston model.

    Authors: Alessandro Gnoatto, Martino Grasselli, Alvise De Col
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    Multi-currency FX derivatives o?er a challenging playground to the
    mathematical modelling of correlations. Quotes of liquidly traded vanilla
    options on cross FX rates, e.g. EUR/JPY, can be used to extract a great deal of
    information about the complex implied correlation structure between the
    corresponding main FX rates, e.g. USD/JPY and EUR/USD. Including all this
    information in a ?nancial model means being able to fit simultaneously all
    volatility smiles, a very demanding task. In this paper we propose a first
    solution to this problem in the class of stochastic volatility models.

  7. Heat kernel methods in finance: the SABR model.

    Authors: Carmelo Vaccaro
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    The SABR model is a stochastic volatility model not admitting a closed form
    solution. Hagan, Kumar, Leniewski and Woodward have given an approximate
    solution by means of perturbative techniques. A more precise approximation was
    obtained by Henry-Labord\`ere using the heat kernel expansion method. The
    latter relies on deep and hard theorems from Riemannian geometry which are
    almost totally unknown to people working in finance, who however are those
    primarily interested in these results.

  8. A CDS Option Miscellany.

    Authors: Richard J Martin
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    CDS options allow investors to express a view on spread volatility and obtain
    a wider range of payoffs than are possible with vanilla CDS. We give a detailed
    exposition of different types of single-name CDS option, including options with
    upfront protection payment, recovery options and recovery swaps, and also
    presents a new formula for the index option. The emphasis is on using the
    Black-76 formula where possible and ensuring consistency within asset classes.
    In the framework shown here the `armageddon event' does not require special
    attention.

  9. Indifference Pricing of American Option Underlying Illiquid Stock under Exponential Forward Performance.

    Authors: Qingshuo Song, George Yin, Xiaoshan Chen, Fahuai Yi
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    This work focuses on the indifference pricing of American call option
    underlying a non-traded stock, which may be partially hedgeable by another
    traded stock. Under the exponential forward measure, the indifference price is
    formulated as a stochastic singular control problem. The value function is
    characterized as the unique solution of a partial differential equation in a
    Sobolev space. Together with some regularities and estimates of the value
    function, the existence of the optimal strategy is also obtained.

  10. Default and Systemic Risk in Equilibrium.

    Authors: Agostino Capponi, Martin Larsson
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We develop a finite horizon continuous time market model, where risk averse
    investors maximize utility from terminal wealth by dynamically investing in a
    risk-free money market account, a stock written on a default-free dividend
    process, and a defaultable bond, whose prices are determined via equilibrium.
    We analyze financial contagion arising endogenously between the stock and the
    defaultable bond via the interplay between equilibrium behavior of investors,
    risk preferences and cyclicality properties of the default intensity.

  11. Fundamental theorems of asset pricing for piecewise semimartingales of stochastic dimension.

    Authors: Winslow Strong
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    The purpose of this paper is two-fold. First is to extend the notions of an
    n-dimensional semimartingale and its stochastic integral to a piecewise
    semimartingale of stochastic dimension. The properties of the former carry over
    largely intact to the latter, avoiding some of the pitfalls of
    infinite-dimensional stochastic integration.

  12. Credit derivatives pricing with default density term structure modelled by L\'evy random fields.

    Authors: Ying Jiao, Lijun Bo, Xuewei Yang
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We model the term structure of the forward default intensity and the default
    density by using L\'evy random fields, which allow us to consider the credit
    derivatives with an after-default recovery payment. As applications, we study
    the pricing of a defaultable bond and represent the pricing kernel as the
    unique solution of a parabolic integro-differential equation. Finally, we
    illustrate by numerical examples the impact of the contagious jump risks on the
    defaultable bond price in our model.

  13. Funding Valuation Adjustment: a consistent framework including CVA, DVA, collateral,netting rules and re-hypothecation.

    Authors: Damiano Brigo, Andrea Pallavicini, Daniele Perini
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    In this paper we describe how to include funding and margining costs into a
    risk-neutral pricing framework for counterparty credit risk. We consider
    realistic settings and we include in our models the common market practices
    suggested by the ISDA documentation without assuming restrictive constraints on
    margining procedures and close-out netting rules. In particular, we allow for
    asymmetric collateral and funding rates, and exogenous liquidity policies and
    hedging strategies. Re-hypothecation liquidity risk and close-out amount
    evaluation issues are also covered.

  14. A Note on the Equivalence between the Normal and the Lognormal Implied Volatility : A Model Free Approach.

    Authors: Cyril Grunspan
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    First, we show that implied normal volatility is intimately linked with the
    incomplete Gamma function. Then, we deduce an expansion on implied normal
    volatility in terms of the time-value of a European call option. Then, we
    formulate an equivalence between the implied normal volatility and the
    lognormal implied volatility with any strike and any model. This generalizes a
    known result for the SABR model. Finally, we adress the issue of the "breakeven
    move" of a delta-hedged portfolio.

  15. Clean Valuation Framework for the USD Silo.

    Authors: Masaaki Fujii, Akihiko Takahashi
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    In the forthcoming ISDA Standard Credit Support Annex (SCSA), the trades
    denominated in non-G5 currencies as well as those include multiple currencies
    are expected to be allocated to the USD silo, where the contracts are
    collateralized by USD cash, or a different currency with an appropriate
    interest rate overlay to achieve the same economic effects. In this paper, we
    have presented a simple generic valuation framework for the clean price under
    the USD silo with the the detailed procedures for the initial term structure
    construction.

  16. Time Consistent G-Expectation and Bid-Ask Dynamic Pricing Mechanisms for Contingent Claims Under Uncertainty.

    Authors: Wei Chen
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We study dynamic pricing mechanisms of European contingent claims under
    uncertainty by using G framework introduced by Peng (2005). We consider a
    financial market consists of a riskless asset and a risky stock with price
    process modelled by a geometric generalized G-Brownian motion, which features
    the drift uncertainty and volatility uncertainty of the stock price process. A
    time consistent G-expectation is defined by the viscosity solution of the
    G-heat equation. Using the time consistent G-expectation we define the G
    dynamic pricing mechanism for the claim.

  17. A Multidimensional Exponential Utility Indifference Pricing Model with Applications to Counterparty Risk.

    Authors: Vicky Henderson, Gechun Liang
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    This paper considers exponential utility indifference pricing for a
    multidimensional non-traded assets model and provides two approximations for
    the utility indifference price: a linear approximation by Picard iteration and
    a semigroup approximation by splitting techniques. The key tool is the
    probabilistic representation for the utility indifference price by the solution
    of fully coupled linear forward-backward stochastic differential equations. We
    apply our methodology to study the counterparty risk of derivatives in
    incomplete markets.

  18. Black-Scholes model under subordination.

    Authors: Aleksander Stanislavsky
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    In this paper we consider a new mathematical extension of the Black-Scholes
    model in which the stochastic time and stock share price evolution is described
    by two independent random processes. The parent process is Brownian, and the
    directing process is inverse to the totally skewed, strictly \alpha-stable
    process. The subordinated process represents the Brownian motion indexed by an
    independent, continuous and increasing process. This allows us to introduce the
    long-term memory effects in the classical Black-Scholes model.

  19. Critical Analysis of the Binomial-Tree approach to Convertible Bonds in the framework of Tsiveriotis-Fernandes model.

    Authors: K. Milanov, O. Kounchev
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    In the present paper we show that the Binomial-tree approach for pricing,
    hedging, and risk assessment of Convertible bonds in the framework of the
    Tsiveriotis-Fernandes model has serious drawbacks. Key words: Convertible
    bonds, Binomial tree, Tsiveriotis-Fernandes model, Convertible bond pricing,
    Convertible bond Greeks, Convertible Arbitrage, Delta-hedging of Convertible
    bonds, Risk Assessment of Convertible bonds.

  20. General Theory of Geometric L\'evy Models for Dynamic Asset Pricing.

    Authors: Lane P. Hughston, Dorje C. Brody, Ewan Mackie
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    The theory of L\'evy models for asset pricing simplifies considerably if one
    takes a pricing kernel approach, which enables one to bypass market
    incompleteness issues. The special case of a geometric L\'evy model (GLM) with
    constant parameters can be regarded as a natural generalisation of the standard
    geometric Brownian motion model used in the Black-Scholes theory. In one
    dimension, once the underlying L\'evy process has been specified, the GLM is
    characterised by four parameters: the initial asset price, the interest rate,
    the volatility, and a risk aversion factor.

  21. Counterparty Risk FAQ: Credit VaR, PFE, CVA, DVA, Closeout, Netting, Collateral, Re-hypothecation, WWR, Basel, Funding, CCDS and Margin Lending.

    Authors: Damiano Brigo
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We present a dialogue on Counterparty Credit Risk touching on Credit Value at
    Risk (Credit VaR), Potential Future Exposure (PFE), Expected Exposure (EE),
    Expected Positive Exposure (EPE), Credit Valuation Adjustment (CVA), Debit
    Valuation Adjustment (DVA), DVA Hedging, Closeout conventions, Netting clauses,
    Collateral modeling, Gap Risk, Re-hypothecation, Wrong Way Risk, Basel III,
    inclusion of Funding costs, First to Default risk, Contingent Credit Default
    Swaps (CCDS) and CVA restructuring possibilities through margin lending.

  22. Hedging of time discrete auto-regressive stochastic volatility options.

    Authors: Juan-Pablo Ortega, Joan del Castillo
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    Numerous empirical proofs indicate the adequacy of the time discrete
    auto-regressive stochastic volatility models introduced by Taylor in the
    description of the log-returns of financial assets.

  23. Two-factor capital structure models for equity and credit.

    Authors: Zhuowei Zhou, Thomas R. Hurd
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We extend the now classic structural credit modeling approach of Black and
    Cox to a class of "two-factor" models that unify equity securities such as
    options written on the stock price, and credit products like bonds and credit
    default swaps. In our approach, the two sides of the stylized balance sheet of
    a firm, namely the asset value and debt value, are assumed to follow a two
    dimensional Markov process.

  24. Bridge Copula Model for Option Pricing.

    Authors: Roman N. Makarov, Giuseppe Campolieti, Andrey Vasiliev
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    In this paper we present a new multi-asset pricing model, which is built upon
    newly developed families of solvable multi-parameter single-asset diffusions
    with a nonlinear smile-shaped volatility and an affine drift. Our multi-asset
    pricing model arises by employing copula methods. In particular, all discounted
    single-asset price processes are modeled as martingale diffusions under a
    risk-neutral measure.

  25. A model for a large investor trading at market indifference prices. I: single-period case.

    Authors: Peter Bank, Dmitry Kramkov
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We develop a single-period model for a large economic agent who trades with
    market makers at their utility indifference prices. A key role is played by a
    pair of conjugate saddle functions associated with the description of Pareto
    optimal allocations in terms of the utility function of a representative market
    maker.

  26. A model for a large investor trading at market indifference prices. II: continuous-time case.

    Authors: Peter Bank, Dmitry Kramkov
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We develop a continuous-time model for a large investor trading at market
    indifference prices. In analogy to the construction of stochastic integrals, we
    investigate the transition from simple to general predictable strategies. A key
    role is played by a stochastic differential equation for the market makers'
    utility process. The analysis of this equation relies on conjugacy relations
    between the stochastic processes with values in the spaces of saddle functions
    associated with the representative agent's utility.

  27. On a stochastic differential equation arising in a price impact model.

    Authors: Peter Bank, Dmitry Kramkov
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We provide sufficient conditions for the existence and uniqueness of
    solutions to a stochastic differential equation which arises in a price impact
    model. These conditions are stated as smoothness and boundedness requirements
    on utility functions or Malliavin differentiability of payoffs and endowments.

  28. Quis pendit ipsa pretia: facebook valuation and diagnostic of a bubble based on nonlinear demographic dynamics.

    Authors: Didier Sornette, Peter Cauwels
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We present a novel methodology to determine the fundamental value of firms in
    the social-networking sector, motivated by recent realized IPOs and by reports
    that suggest sky-high valuations of firms such as facebook, Groupon, LinkedIn
    Corp., Pandora Media Inc, Twitter, Zynga.

  29. Risk Premia and Optimal Liquidation of Defaultable Securities.

    Authors: Tim Leung, Peng Liu
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    This paper studies the optimal timing to liquidate defaultable securities in
    a general intensity-based credit risk model under stochastic interest rate. We
    incorporate the potential price discrepancy between the market and investors,
    which is characterized by risk-neutral valuation under different default risk
    premia specifications. To quantify the value of optimally timing to sell, we
    introduce the {delayed liquidation premium} which is closely related to the
    stochastic bracket between the market price and a pricing kernel.

  30. Path integral approach to Asian options in the Black-Scholes model.

    Authors: Damiaan Lemmens, Jacques Tempere, Jeroen P.A. Devreese
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We derive a closed-form solution for the price of an average price as well as
    an average strike geometric Asian option, by making use of the path integral
    formulation. Our results are compared to a numerical Monte Carlo simulation. We
    also develop a pricing formula for an Asian option with a barrier on a control
    process, combining the method of images with a partitioning of the set of paths
    according to the average along the path. This formula is exact when the
    correlation is zero, and is approximate when the correlation increases.

  31. Forward Exponential Performances: Pricing and Optimal Risk Sharing.

    Authors: Michail Anthropelos
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    In a Markovian stochastic volatility model, we consider financial agents
    whose investment criteria are modelled by forward exponential performance
    processes. The problem of contingent claim indifference valuation is first
    addressed and a number of properties are proved and discussed. Special
    attention is taken on the comparison between the forward and backward
    indifference valuation. In addition, we initiate the problem of optimal risk
    sharing on this forward setting and we solve it when the agents' forward
    performance criteria are exponential.

  32. Time-Consistent Actuarial Valuations.

    Authors: Antoon Pelsser
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    Recent theoretical results establish that time-consistent valuations (i.e.
    pricing operators) can be created by backward iteration of one-period
    valuations. In this paper we investigate the continuous-time limits of
    well-known actuarial premium principles when such backward iteration procedures
    are applied. We show that the one-period variance premiumprinciple converges to
    the non-linear exponential indifference valuation.

  33. Time-Consistent and Market-Consistent Evaluations.

    Authors: Mitja Stadje, Antoon Pelsser
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We consider evaluation methods for payoffs with an inherent financial risk as
    encountered for instance for portfolios held by pension funds and insurance
    companies. Pricing such payoffs in a way consistent to market prices typically
    involves combining actuarial techniques with methods from mathematical finance.
    We propose to extend standard actuarial principles by a new market-consistent
    evaluation procedure which we call `two step market evaluation.' This procedure
    preserves the structure of standard evaluation techniques and has many other
    appealing properties.

  34. Pricing Variable Annuity Contracts with High-Water Mark Feature.

    Authors: V.M. Belyaev
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    Variable annuities (VA) are popular insurance products. VAs provides the
    insured with a guaranteed accumulation rate on their premium at maturity. In
    addition, the insured may receive extra benefit if returns of underlying funds
    are high enough. Here we consider a special case of VA with high-water mark
    feature and Guaranteed Minimum payment reset.

  35. Probability-free pricing of adjusted American lookbacks.

    Authors: Vladimir Vovk, Alexander Shen, A. Philip Dawid, Steven de Rooij, Glenn Shafer, Nikolai Vereshchagin, Wouter M. Koolen, Peter Grunwald
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    Consider an American option that pays G(X^*_t) when exercised at time t,
    where G is a positive increasing function, X^*_t := \sup_{s\le t}X_s, and X_s
    is the price of the underlying security at time s. Assuming zero interest
    rates, we show that the seller of this option can hedge his position by trading
    in the underlying security if he begins with initial capital
    X_0\int_{X_0}^{\infty}G(x)x^{-2}dx (and this is the smallest initial capital
    that allows him to hedge his position).

  36. Large deviations and stochastic volatility with jumps: asymptotic implied volatility for affine models.

    Authors: Martin Keller-Ressel, Aleksandar Mijatovic, Antoine Jacquier
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    Let $\sigma_t(x)$ denote the implied volatility at maturity $t$ for a strike
    $K=S_0 e^{xt}$, where $x\in\bbR$ and $S_0$ is the current value of the
    underlying. We show that $\sigma_t(x)$ has a uniform (in $x$) limit as maturity
    $t$ tends to infinity, given by the formula
    $\sigma_\infty(x)=\sqrt{2}(h^*(x)^{1/2}+(h^*(x)-x)^{1/2})$, for $x$ in some
    compact neighbourhood of zero in the class of affine stochastic volatility
    models. The function $h^*$ is the convex dual of the limiting cumulant
    generating function $h$ of the scaled log-spot process.

  37. American and Bermudan options in currency markets under proportional transaction costs.

    Authors: Alet Roux, Tomasz Zastawniak
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    The pricing and hedging of a general class of options (including American,
    Bermudan and European options) on multiple assets are studied in the context of
    currency markets where trading in all assets is subject to proportional
    transaction costs, and where the existence of a riskfree numeraire is not
    assumed. Probabilistic dual representations are obtained for the bid and ask
    prices of such options, together with constructions of hedging strategies,
    optimal stopping times and approximate martingale representations for both long
    and short option positions.

  38. Convex risk measures for good deal bounds.

    Authors: Takuji Arai, Masaaki Fukasawa
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We study convex risk measures describing the upper and lower bounds of a good
    deal bound, which is a subinterval of a no-arbitrage pricing bound. We call
    such a convex risk measure a good deal valuation and give a set of equivalent
    conditions for its existence in terms of market. A good deal valuation is
    characterized by several equivalent properties and in particular, we see that a
    convex risk measure is a good deal valuation only if it is given as a risk
    indifference price. An application to shortfall risk measure is given.

  39. On martingale measures and pricing for continuous bond-stock market with stochastic bond.

    Authors: Nikolai Dokuchaev
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    This paper studies pricing of stock options for the case when the evolution
    of the risk-free assets or bond is stochastic. We show that, in the typical
    scenario, the martingale measure is not unique, that there are non-replicable
    claims, and that the martingale prices can vary significantly; for instance,
    for a European put option, any positive real number is a martingale price for
    some martingale measure. In addition, the second moment of the hedging error
    for a strategy calculated via a given martingale measure can take any arbitrary
    positive value under some equivalent measure.

  40. An algorithm for calculating the set of superhedging portfolios and strategies in markets with transaction costs.

    Authors: Birgit Rudloff, Andreas Löhne
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We study the explicit calculation of the set of superhedging portfolios of
    contingent claims in a discrete-time market model for d assets with
    proportional transaction costs when the underlying probability space is finite.
    The set of superhedging portfolios can be obtained by a recursive construction
    involving set operations, going backward in the event tree. We reformulate the
    problem as a sequence of linear vector optimization problems and solve it by
    adapting known algorithms. The corresponding superhedging strategy can be
    obtained going forward in the tree.

  41. A note on essential smoothness in the Heston model.

    Authors: Aleksandar Mijatovic, Martin Forde, Antoine Jacquier
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    This note studies an issue relating to essential smoothness that can arise
    when the theory of large deviations is applied to a certain option pricing
    formula in the Heston model. The note identifies a gap, based on this issue, in
    the proof of Corollary 2.4 in \cite{FordeJacquier10} and describes how to
    circumvent it. This completes the proof of Corollary 2.4 in
    \cite{FordeJacquier10} and hence of the main result in \cite{FordeJacquier10},
    which describes the limiting behaviour of the implied volatility smile in the
    Heston model far from maturity.

  42. The explicit Laplace transform for the Wishart process.

    Authors: Alessandro Gnoatto, Martino Grasselli
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We derive the explicit formula for the joint Laplace transform of the Wishart
    process and its time integral which extends the original approach of Bru. We
    compare our methodology with the alternative results given by the variation of
    constants method, the linearization of the Matrix Riccati ODE's and the
    Runge-Kutta algorithm. The new formula turns out to be fast, accurate and very
    useful for applications when dealing with stochastic volatility and stochastic
    correlation modelling.

  43. Theory of Information Pricing.

    Authors: Dorje C. Brody, Yan Tai Law
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    In financial markets valuable information is rarely circulated homogeneously,
    because of time required for information to spread. However, advances in
    communication technology means that the 'lifetime' of an important piece of
    information is typically short. Hence, viewed as a tradable asset, information
    shares the characteristics of a nondurable commodity: while it can be stored
    and transmitted freely, its worth diminishes rapidly in time.

  44. Calibration of Chaotic Models for Interest Rates.

    Authors: Matheus R Grasselli, Tsunehiro Tsujimoto
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    In this paper we calibrate chaotic models for interest rates to market data
    using a polynomial-exponential parametrization for the chaos coefficients. We
    identify a subclass of one-variable models that allow us to introduce
    complexity from higher order chaos in a controlled way while retaining
    considerable analytic tractability. In particular we derive explicit
    expressions for bond and option prices in a one-variable third chaos model in
    terms of elementary combinations of normal density and cumulative distribution
    functions.

  45. Analytical Approximation for Non-linear FBSDEs with Perturbation Scheme.

    Authors: Masaaki Fujii, Akihiko Takahashi
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    In this work, we have presented a simple analytical approximation scheme for
    generic non-linear FBSDEs. By treating the interested systems as the linear
    decoupled FBSDE perturbed with a non-linear generator, we have shown that it is
    possible to carry out recursive approximation to an arbitrarily higher order of
    expansion. We have also provided two concrete examples to demonstrate how it
    works and shown its accuracy relative to the results directly obtained from
    numerical techniques, such as PDE and Monte Carlo simulation.

  46. Erratum for: Smile dynamics -- a theory of the implied leverage effect.

    Authors: Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, Stefano Ciliberti, Marc Potters
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We correct a mistake in the published version of our paper. Our new
    conclusion is that the "implied leverage effect" for single stocks is
    underestimated by option markets for short maturities and overestimated for
    long maturities, while it is always overestimated for OEX options, except for
    the shortest maturities where the revised theory and data match perfectly.

  47. The small-maturity smile for exponential Levy models.

    Authors: Martin Forde, Jose E. Figueroa-Lopez
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We derive a small-time expansion for out-of-the-money call options under an
    exponential Levy model, using the small-time expansion for the distribution
    function given in Figueroa-Lopez & Houdre (2009), combined with a change of
    numeraire via the Esscher transform. In particular, we find that the effect of
    a non-zero volatility $\sigma$ of the Gaussian component of the driving
    L\'{e}vy process is to increase the call price by $1/2\sigma^2 t^2
    e^{k}\nu(k)(1+o(1))$ as $t \to 0$, where $\nu$ is the L\'evy density.

  48. Don't stay local - extrapolation analytics for Dupire's local volatility.

    Authors: Peter Friz, Stefan Gerhold
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    A robust implementation of a Dupire type local volatility model is an
    important issue for every option trading floor. Typically, this (inverse)
    problem is solved in a two step procedure : (i) a smooth parametrization of the
    implied volatility surface; (ii) computation of the local volatility based on
    the resulting call price surface. Point (i), and in particular how to
    extrapolate the implied volatility in extreme strike regimes not seen in the
    market, has been the subject of numerous articles, starting with Lee (Math.
    Finance, 2004).

  49. Default Swap Games Driven by Spectrally Negative Levy Processes.

    Authors: Masahiko Egami, Kazutoshi Yamazaki, Tim S.T. Leung
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    This paper studies the valuation of game-type credit default swaps (CDSs)
    that allow the protection buyer and seller to raise or reduce the respective
    position once prior to default. This leads to the analytical and numerical
    studies of a stochastic game with optimal stopping subject to early termination
    resulting from a default. Under a structural credit risk model based on
    spectrally negative Levy processes, we analyze the existence of the Nash
    equilibrium and derive the associated saddle point.

  50. Power Series Representations for European Option Prices under Stochastic Volatility Models.

    Authors: Lucia Caramellino, Giorgio Ferrari, Roberta Piersimoni
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    In the context of stochastic volatility models, we study representation
    formulas in terms of expectations for the power series' coefficients associated
    to the call price-function. As in a recent paper by Antonelli and Scarlatti the
    expansion is done w.r.t. the correlation between the noises driving the
    underlying asset price process and the volatility process. We first obtain
    expressions for the power series' coefficients from the generalized Hull and
    White formula obtained by Elisa Al\`os.

  51. American Options Based on Malliavin Calculus and Nonparametric Variance Reduction Methods.

    Authors: Bernard Lapeyre, Lokman Abbas-Turki
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    This paper is devoted to pricing American options using Monte Carlo and the
    Malliavin calculus. Unlike the majority of articles related to this topic, in
    this work we will not use localization fonctions to reduce the variance. Our
    method is based on expressing the conditional expectation E[f(St)/Ss] using the
    Malliavin calculus without localization. Then the variance of the estimator of
    E[f(St)/Ss] is reduced using closed formulas, techniques based on a
    conditioning and a judicious choice of the number of simulated paths.

  52. Semi-Static Hedging Based on a Generalized Reflection Principle on a Multi Dimensional Brownian Motion.

    Authors: Jiro Akahori, Yuri Imamura, Katsuya Takagi
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    On a multi-assets Black-Scholes economy, we introduce a class of barrier
    options. In this model we apply a generalized reflection principle in a context
    of the finite reflection group acting on a Euclidean space to give a valuation
    formula and the semi-static hedge.

  53. Root's Barrier: Construction, Optimality and Applications to Variance Options.

    Authors: Alexander M. G. Cox, Jiajie Wang
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    Recent work of Dupire (2005) and Carr & Lee (2010) has highlighted the
    importance of understanding the Skorokhod embedding originally proposed by Root
    (1969) for the model-independent hedging of variance options. Root's work shows
    that there exists a barrier from which one may define a stopping time which
    solves the Skorokhod embedding problem. This construction has the remarkable
    property, proved by Rost (1976), that it minimises the variance of the stopping
    time among all solutions.

  54. Collateralized CDS and Default Dependence.

    Authors: Masaaki Fujii, Akihiko Takahashi
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    In this paper, we have studied the pricing of a continuously collateralized
    CDS. We have made use of the "survival measure" to derive the pricing formula
    in a straightforward way. As a result, we have found that there exists
    irremovable trace of the counter party as well as the investor in the price of
    CDS through their default dependence even under the perfect collateralization,
    although the hazard rates of the two parties are totally absent from the
    pricing formula.

  55. Exchangeability type properties of asset prices.

    Authors: Michael Schmutz, Ilya Molchanov
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    In this paper we analyse financial implications of exchangeability and
    similar properties of finite dimensional random vectors. We show how these
    properties are reflected in prices of some basket options in view of the
    well-known put-call symmetry property and the duality principle in option
    pricing. A particular attention is devoted to the case of asset prices driven
    by Levy processes.

  56. Spin models as microfoundation of macroscopic financial market models.

    Authors: Sebastian M. Krause, Stefan Bornholdt
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    Macroscopic price evolution models are commonly used for investment
    strategies. There are first promising achievements in defining microscopic
    agent based models for the same purpose. Microscopic models allow a deeper
    understanding of mechanisms in the market than the purely phenomenological
    macroscopic models, and thus bear the chance for better models for market
    regulation. We exemplify this strategy in a case study, deducing a macroscopic
    Langevin equation from a microscopic spin market model closely related to the
    Ising model.

  57. A Note on Delta Hedging in Markets with Jumps.

    Authors: Aleksandar Mijatović, Mikhail Urusov
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    Modelling stock prices via jump processes is common in financial markets. In
    practice, to hedge a contingent claim one typically uses the so-called
    delta-hedging strategy. This strategy stems from the Black--Merton--Scholes
    model where it perfectly replicates contingent claims. From the theoretical
    viewpoint, there is no reason for this to hold in models with jumps. However in
    practice the delta-hedging strategy is widely used and its potential
    shortcoming in models with jumps is disregarded since such models are typically
    incomplete and hence most contingent claims are non-attainable.

  58. Stochastic evolution equations in portfolio credit modelling.

    Authors: Christoph Reisinger, Nick Bush, Ben M. Hambly, Helen Haworth, Lei Jin
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We consider a structural credit model for a large portfolio of credit risky
    assets where the correlation is due to a market factor. By considering the
    large portfolio limit of this system we show the existence of a density process
    for the asset values. This density evolves according to a stochastic partial
    differential equation and we establish existence and uniqueness for the
    solution taking values in a suitable function space. The loss function of the
    portfolio is then a function of the evolution of this density at the default
    boundary.

  59. A method for pricing American options using semi-infinite linear programming.

    Authors: Sören Christensen
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We introduce a new approach for the numerical pricing of American options.
    The main idea is to choose a finite number of suitable excessive functions
    (randomly) and to find the smallest majorant of the gain function in the span
    of these functions. The resulting problem is a linear semi-infinite programming
    problem, that can be solved using standard algorithms. This leads to good upper
    bounds for the original problem. For our algorithms no discretization of space
    and time and no simulation is necessary. Furthermore it is applicable even for
    high-dimensional problems.

  60. Interest Rates After The Credit Crunch: Multiple-Curve Vanilla Derivatives and SABR.

    Authors: Marco Bianchetti, Mattia Carlicchi
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We present a quantitative study of the markets and models evolution across
    the credit crunch crisis. In particular, we focus on the fixed income market
    and we analyze the most relevant empirical evidences regarding the divergences
    between Libor and OIS rates, the explosion of Basis Swaps spreads, and the
    diffusion of collateral agreements and CSA-discounting, in terms of credit and
    liquidity effects.

  61. Arbitrage hedging strategy and one more explanation of the volatility smile.

    Authors: Olga Rozanova, Mikhail Martynov
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We present an explicit hedging strategy, which enables to prove arbitrageness
    of market incorporating at least two assets depending on the same random
    factor. The implied Black-Scholes volatility, computed taking into account the
    form of the graph of the option price, related to our strategy, demonstrates
    the "skewness" inherent to the observational data.

  62. Approximating European Options by Rebate Barrier Options.

    Authors: Qingshuo Song
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    When the underlying stock price is a strict local martingale process under an
    equivalent local martingale measure, Black-Scholes PDE associated with an
    European option may have multiple solutions. In this paper, we study an
    approximation for the smallest hedging price of such an European option. Our
    results show that a class of rebate barrier options can be used for this
    approximation, when its rebate and barrier are chosen appropriately. An
    asymptotic convergence rate is also achieved when the knocked-out barrier moves
    to infinity under suitable conditions.

  63. Derivative Pricing under Asymmetric and Imperfect Collateralization and CVA.

    Authors: Masaaki Fujii, Akihiko Takahashi
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    The importance of collateralization through the change of funding cost is now
    well recognized among practitioners. In this article, we have extended the
    previous studies of collateralized derivative pricing to more generic
    situation, that is asymmetric and imperfect collateralization as well as the
    associated CVA. We have presented approximate expressions for various cases
    using Gateaux derivative which allow straightforward numerical analysis.
    Numerical examples for CCS (cross currency swap) and IRS(interest rate swap)
    with asymmetric collateralization were also provided.

  64. Path integral approach to the pricing of timer options with the Duru-Kleinert time transformation.

    Authors: Ling Zhi Liang, Damiaan Lemmens, Jacques Tempere
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    In this paper, a time substitution as used by Duru and Kleinert in their
    treatment of the hydrogen atom with path integrals is performed to price timer
    options under stochastic volatility models. We present general pricing formulas
    for both the perpetual timer call options and the finite time-horizon timer
    call options. These general results allow us to find closed-form pricing
    formulas for both the perpetual and the finite time-horizon timer options under
    the 3/2 stochastic volatility model as well as under the Heston stochastic
    volatility model.

  65. Financial Rogue Waves Appearing in the Coupled Nonlinear Volatility and Option Pricing Model.

    Authors: Zhenya Yan
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    The coupled nonlinear volatility and option pricing model presented recently
    by Ivancevic is investigated, which generates a leverage effect, i.e., stock
    volatility is (negatively) correlated to stock returns, and can be regarded as
    a coupled nonlinear wave alternative of the Black-Scholes option pricing model.
    In this short report, we analytically propose the two-component financial rogue
    waves of the coupled nonlinear volatility and option pricing model without an
    embedded w-learning. Moreover, we exhibit their dynamical behaviors for chosen
    different parameters.

  66. Alternative approach to the optimality of the threshold strategy for spectrally negative Levy processes.

    Authors: Chuancun Yin, Ying Shen, Kam Chuen Yuen
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    Consider the optimal dividend problem for an insurance company whose
    uncontrolled surplus precess evolves as a spectrally negative Levy process. We
    assume that dividends are paid to the shareholders according to admissible
    strategies whose dividend rate is bounded by a constant.

  67. Market-consistent valuation of insurance liabilities by cost of capital.

    Authors: Christoph Moehr
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    This paper investigates market-consistent valuation of insurance liabilities
    in the context of, for instance, Solvency II and to some extent IFRS 4. We
    propose an explicit and consistent framework for the valuation of insurance
    liabilities which incorporates the Solvency II approach as a special case.

  68. On the Existence of Bertrand-Nash Equilibrium Prices Under Logit Demand.

    Authors: W. Ross Morrow, Steven J. Skerlos
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    This article presents a proof of the existence of Bertrand-Nash equilibrium
    prices with multi-product firms and under the Logit model of demand that does
    not rely on restrictive assumptions on product characteristics, firm
    homogeneity or symmetry, product costs, or linearity of the utility function.
    The proof is based on conditions for the indirect utility function, fixed-point
    equations derived from the first-order conditions, and a direct analysis of the
    second-order conditions resulting in the uniqueness of profit-maximizing
    prices.

  69. American Step-Up and Step-Down Credit Default Swaps under Levy Models.

    Authors: Kazutoshi Yamazaki, Tim Siu-Tang Leung
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    This paper studies the valuation of a class of credit default swaps (CDSs)
    with the embedded option to switch to a different premium and notional
    principal anytime prior to a credit event. These are early exercisable
    contracts that give the protection buyer or seller the right to step-up,
    step-down, or cancel the CDS position. The pricing problem is formulated under
    a structural credit risk model based on Levy processes. This leads to the
    analytic and numerical studies of an optimal stopping problem subject to early
    termination due to default.

  70. Cumulant Expansion and Monthly Sum Derivative.

    Authors: V.M. Belyaev
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    Cumulant expansion is used to derive accurate closed-form approximation for
    Monthly Sum Options in case of constant volatility model. Payoff of Monthly Sum
    Option is based on sum of $N$ caped (and probably floored) returns. It is
    noticed, that $1/\sqrt{N}$ can be used as a small parameter in Edgeworth
    expansion. First two leading terms of this expansion are calculated here. It is
    shown that the suggest closed-form approximation is in a good agreement with
    numerical results for typical mode parameters.

  71. Maximum Entropy Distributions Inferred from Option Portfolios on an Asset.

    Authors: C. Neri, L. Schneider
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We obtain the maximum entropy distribution for an asset from call and digital
    option prices. A rigorous mathematical proof of its existence and exponential
    form is given, which can also be applied to legitimise a formal derivation by
    Buchen and Kelly. We give a simple and robust algorithm for our method and
    compare our results to theirs. We present numerical results which show that our
    approach implies very realistic volatility surfaces even when calibrating only
    to at-the-money options. Finally, we apply our approach to options on the S&P
    500 index.

  72. Rational term structure models with geometric Levy martingales.

    Authors: Lane P. Hughston, Dorje C. Brody, Ewan Mackie
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    In the "positive interest" models of Flesaker and Hughston, the nominal
    discount bond system is determined by the specification of a one-parameter
    family of positive martingales. In the present paper we extend this analysis to
    include a variety of distributions for the martingale family, parameterised by
    a function that determines the behaviour of the market risk premium. These
    distributions include jump and diffusion characteristics that generate various
    interesting properties for discount bond returns.

  73. Financial markets with volatility uncertainty.

    Authors: Joerg Vorbrink
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We investigate financial markets under model risk caused by uncertain
    volatilities. For this purpose we consider a financial market that features
    volatility uncertainty. To have a mathematical consistent framework we use the
    notion of G-expectation and its corresponding G-Brownian motion recently
    introduced by Peng (2007). Our financial market consists of a riskless asset
    and a risky stock with price process modeled by a geometric G-Brownian motion.
    We adapt the notion of arbitrage to this more complex situation and consider
    stock price dynamics which exclude arbitrage opportunities.

  74. Controlled options: derivatives with added flexibility.

    Authors: Nikolai Dokuchaev
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    The paper introduces options where the holder to select certain strategies
    that control the payoff.These control processes are assumed to be adapted to
    the current flow of information. These options have potential applications for
    commodities and energy trading. For instance, a control process can represent
    the quantity of some commodity that can be purchased by a certain given price
    at current time. In another example, the control represents the weight of the
    integral in a modification of the Asian option.

  75. Pricing of barrier options by marginal functional quantization.

    Authors: Abass Sagna
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    This paper is devoted to the pricing of Barrier options by optimal quadratic
    quantization method. From a known useful representation of the premium of
    barrier options one deduces an algorithm similar to one used to estimate
    nonlinear filter using quadratic optimal functional quantization. Some
    numerical tests are fulfilled in the Black-Scholes model and in a local
    volatility model and a comparison to the so called Brownian Bridge method is
    also done.

  76. Continuously monitored barrier options under Markov processes.

    Authors: Martijn Pistorius, Aleksandar Mijatovic
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    In this paper we present an algorithm for pricing barrier options in
    one-dimensional Markov models. The approach rests on the construction of an
    approximating continuous-time Markov chain that closely follows the dynamics of
    the given Markov model. We illustrate the method by implementing it for a range
    of models, including a local Levy process and a local volatility
    jump-diffusion. We also provide a convergence proof and error estimates for
    this algorithm.

  77. Pricing and Hedging in Affine Models with Possibility of Default.

    Authors: Patrick Cheridito, Alexander Wugalter
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We propose a general class of models for the simultaneous treatment of
    equity, corporate bonds, government bonds and derivatives. The noise is
    generated by a general affine Markov process. The framework allows for
    stochastic volatility, jumps, the possibility of default and correlations
    between different assets. We extend the notion of a discounted moment
    generation function of the log stock price to the case where the underlying can
    default and show how to calculate it in terms of a coupled system of
    generalized Riccati equations.

  78. The Impossible Trio in CDO Modeling.

    Authors: Yadong Li, Emmanuel Schertzer, Umer Khan
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We show that stochastic recovery always leads to counter-intuitive behaviors
    in the risk measures of a CDO tranche - namely, continuity on default and
    positive credit spread risk cannot be ensured simultaneously. We then propose a
    simple recovery variance regularization method to control the magnitude of
    negative credit spread risk while preserving the continuity on default.

  79. The Early Exercise Boundary behavior at expiry for American style of derivative.

    Authors: Tomas Bokes
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    In this paper, we present a new method for calculating the limit of early
    exercise boundary at expiry. We price American style of general derivative
    using a formula expressed as a sum of the value of European style of derivative
    and so called American premium. We use the latter expression to calculate an
    analytic formula for limit of early exercise boundary at expiry. Method applied
    on American style plain vanilla, Asian and lookback options yields identical
    results with already known values.

  80. Calibration of One- and Two-Factor Models For Valuation of Energy Multi-Asset Derivative Contracts.

    Authors: Josh Gray, Konstantin Palamarchuk
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We study historical calibration of one- and two-factor models that are known
    to describe relatively well the dynamics of energy underlyings such as spot and
    index natural gas or oil prices at different physical locations or regional
    power prices. We take into account uneven frequency of data due to weekends,
    holidays, and possible missing data.

  81. Risk-Neutral Pricing of Financial Instruments in Emission Markets.

    Authors: Sam Howison, Daniel Schwarz
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We present a novel approach to the pricing of financial instruments in
    emission markets, for example, the EU ETS. The proposed hybrid model is
    positioned between existing complex full equilibrium models and pure
    risk-neutral models. Using an exogenously specified demand for a polluting good
    it gives a causal explanation for the accumulation of CO2 emissions and takes
    into account the feedback effect from the cost of carbon to the rate at which
    the market emits CO2.

  82. A finite dimensional approximation for pricing moving average options.

    Authors: Peter Tankov, Marie Bernhart, Xavier Warin
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We propose a method for pricing American options whose pay-off depends on the
    moving average of the underlying asset price. The method uses a finite
    dimensional approximation of the infinite-dimensional dynamics of the moving
    average process based on a truncated Laguerre series expansion. The resulting
    problem is a finite-dimensional optimal stopping problem, which we propose to
    solve with a least squares Monte Carlo approach. We analyze the theoretical
    convergence rate of our method and present numerical results in the
    Black-Scholes framework.

  83. Dangers of Bilateral Counterparty Risk: the fundamental impact of closeout conventions.

    Authors: Damiano Brigo, Massimo Morini
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We analyze the practical consequences of the bilateral counterparty risk
    adjustment. We point out that past literature assumes that, at the moment of
    the first default, a risk-free closeout amount will be used. We argue that the
    legal (ISDA) documentation suggests in many points that a substitution closeout
    should be used. This would take into account the risk of default of the
    survived party. We show how the bilateral counterparty risk adjustment changes
    strongly when a substitution closeout amount is considered.

  84. Generalized pricing formulas for stochastic volatility jump diffusion models applied to the exponential Vasicek model.

    Authors: L.Z.J.Liang, D.Lemmens, J. Tempere
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    Path integral techniques for the pricing of financial options are mostly
    based on models that can be recast in terms of a Fokker-Planck differential
    equation and that, consequently, neglect jumps and only describe drift and
    diffusion. We present a method to adapt formulas for both the path-integral
    propagators and the option prices themselves, so that jump processes are taken
    into account in conjunction with the usual drift and diffusion terms.

  85. Parsimonious HJM Modelling for Multiple Yield-Curve Dynamics.

    Authors: Andrea Pallavicini, Nicola Moreni
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    For a long time interest-rate models were built on a single yield curve used
    both for discounting and forwarding. However, the crisis that has affected
    financial markets in the last years led market players to revise this
    assumption and accommodate basis-swap spreads, whose remarkable widening can no
    longer be neglected. In recent literature we find many proposals of multi-curve
    interest-rate models, whose calibration would typically require market quotes
    for all yield curves. At present this is not possible since most of the quotes
    are missing or extremely illiquid.

  86. Hedging Pure Endowments with Mortality Derivatives.

    Authors: Virginia R. Young, Ting Wang
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    In recent years, a market for mortality derivatives began developing as a way
    to handle systematic mortality risk, which is inherent in life insurance and
    annuity contracts. Systematic mortality risk is due to the uncertain
    development of future mortality intensities, or {\it hazard rates}. In this
    paper, we develop a theory for pricing pure endowments when hedging with a
    mortality forward is allowed. The hazard rate associated with the pure
    endowment and the reference hazard rate for the mortality forward are
    correlated and are modeled by diffusion processes.

  87. Time-Changed Fast Mean-Reverting Stochastic Volatility Models.

    Authors: Matthew Lorig
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We introduce a class of randomly time-changed fast mean-reverting stochastic
    volatility models and, using spectral theory and singular perturbation
    techniques, we derive an approximation for the prices of European options in
    this setting. Three examples of random time-changes are provided and the
    implied volatility surfaces induced by these time-changes are examined as a
    function of the model parameters.

  88. Conditional Density Models for Asset Pricing.

    Authors: Damir Filipović, Lane P. Hughston, Andrea Macrina
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We model the dynamics of asset prices and associated derivatives by
    consideration of the dynamics of the conditional probability density process
    for the value of an asset at some specified time in the future. In the case
    where the asset is driven by Brownian motion, an associated "master equation"
    for the dynamics of the conditional probability density is derived and
    expressed in integral form. By a "model" for the conditional density process we
    mean a solution to the master equation along with the specification of (a) the
    initial density, and (b) the volatility structure of the density.

  89. A la Carte of Correlation Models: Which One to Choose?.

    Authors: Harry Zheng
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    In this paper we propose a copula contagion mixture model for correlated
    default times. The model includes the well known factor, copula, and contagion
    models as its special cases. The key advantage of such a model is that we can
    study the interaction of different models and their pricing impact.
    Specifically, we model the marginal default times to follow some contagion
    intensity processes coupled with copula dependence structure.

  90. Long-Term Behaviors and Implied Volatilities in General Affine Diffusion Models.

    Authors: Hao Xing, Rudra P. Jena, Kyoung-Kuk Kim
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    This paper considers asset price dynamics of which discounted return is
    modeled by a multi-dimensional affine diffusion process. By analyzing the
    Riccati system, which is associated with the affine process via the transform
    formula, we fully characterize the regions of exponents in which asset price
    moments do not explode at any time or explode at a given time. These behaviors
    are closely tied to the long-term growth rate of asset price moments as well as
    implied volatility asymptotics at large-time-to-maturity or at extreme strikes
    for any given option maturity.

  91. Asymptotic Implied Volatility at the Second Order with Application to the SABR Model.

    Authors: Louis Paulot
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We provide a general method to compute a Taylor expansion in time of implied
    volatility for stochastic volatility models, using a heat kernel expansion.
    Beyond the order 0 implied volatility which is already known, we compute the
    first order correction exactly at all strikes from the scalar coefficient of
    the heat kernel expansion. Furthermore, the first correction in the heat kernel
    expansion gives the second order correction for implied volatility, which we
    also give exactly at all strikes. As an application, we compute this asymptotic
    expansion at order 2 for the SABR model.

  92. Do your volatility smiles take care of extreme events?.

    Authors: L. Spadafora, G. P. Berman, F. Borgonovi
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    In the Black-Scholes context we consider the probability distribution
    function (PDF) of financial returns implied by volatility smile and we study
    the relation between the decay of its tails and the fitting parameters of the
    smile. We show that, considering a scaling law derived from data, it is
    possible to get a new fitting procedure of the volatility smile that considers
    also the exponential decay of the real PDF of returns observed in the financial
    markets.

  93. On Calibrating Stochastic Volatility Models with time-dependent Parameters.

    Authors: Wolfgang Putschoegl
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We consider stochastic volatility models using piecewise constant parameters.
    We suggest a hybrid optimization algorithm for fitting the models to a
    volatility surface and provide some numerical results. Finally, we provide an
    outlook on how to further improve the calibration procedure.

  94. Information-based models for finance and insurance.

    Authors: Edward Hoyle
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    In financial markets, the information that traders have about an asset is
    reflected in its price. The arrival of new information then leads to price
    changes. The `information-based framework' of Brody, Hughston and Macrina (BHM)
    isolates the emergence of information, and examines its role as a driver of
    price dynamics. This approach has led to the development of new models that
    capture a broad range of price behaviour. This thesis extends the work of BHM
    by introducing a wider class of processes for the generation of the market
    filtration.

  95. Correcting the holder-extendible European put formula.

    Authors: Pavel V. Shevchenko
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    Options that allow the holder to extend the maturity by paying an additional
    fixed amount found many applications in finance. Closed-form solution for these
    options first appeared in Longstaff (1990) for the case when underlying asset
    follows a geometric Brownian motion with the constant interest rate and
    volatility. Unfortunately there are several typographical errors in the
    published formula for the holder-extendible put. These are subsequently
    repeated in textbooks, other papers and software. This short paper presents a
    correct formula.

  96. Arbitrage Opportunities in Misspecified Stochastic volatility Models.

    Authors: Peter Tankov, Rudra P. Jena
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    There is vast empirical evidence that given a set of assumptions on the
    real-world dynamics of an asset, the European options on this asset are not
    efficiently priced in options markets, giving rise to arbitrage opportunities.
    We study these opportunities in a generic stochastic volatility model and
    exhibit the strategies which maximize the arbitrage profit. In the case when
    the misspecified dynamics is a classical Black-Scholes one, we give a new
    interpretation of the classical butterfly and risk reversal contracts in terms
    of their (near) optimality for arbitrage strategies.

  97. American Options Pricing under Stochastic Volatility: Approximation of the Early Exercise Surface and Monte Carlo Simulations.

    Authors: Yu.A.Kuperin, P.A.Poloskov
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    The aim of this study was to develop methods for evaluating the
    American-style option prices when the volatility of the underlying asset is
    described by a stochastic process. As part of this problem were developed
    techniques for modeling the early exercise surface of the American option.
    These methods of present work are compared to the complexity of modeling and
    computation speed. The paper presents the semi-analytic expression for the
    price of American options with stochastic volatility. The results of numerical
    computations and their calibration are also presented.

  98. On dependence of the implied volatility on returns for stochastic volatility models.

    Authors: Olga Rozanova, Mikhail Martynov
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We study the dependence of volatility on the stock price in the stochastic
    volatility framework on the example of the Heston model.To be more specific, we
    consider the conditional expectation of variance (square of volatility) under
    fixed stock price return as a function of the return and time. The behavior of
    this function depends on the initial stock price return distribution density.
    In particular, we obtain the "smile" effect near the mean value of the stock
    price return.

  99. Analytical and Numerical Approaches to Pricing the Path-Dependent Options with Stochastic Volatility.

    Authors: Yu.A. Kuperin, P.A. Poloskov
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    In this paper new analytical and numerical approaches to valuating
    path-dependent options of European type have been developed. The model of
    stochastic volatility as a basic model has been chosen. For European options we
    could improve the path integral method, proposed B. Baaquie, and generalized it
    to the case of path-dependent options, where the payoff function depends on the
    history of changes in the underlying asset. The dependence of the implied
    volatility on the parameters of the stochastic volatility model has been
    studied.

  100. Small-time expansions of the distributions, densities, and option prices of stochastic volatility models with L\'evy jumps.

    Authors: C. Houdré, J.E. Figueroa-López, R. Gong
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We consider a stochastic volatility model with L\'evy jumps for a log-return
    process $Z = (Z_t)_{t\ge 0}$ of the form $Z = U+X$, where $U = (U_t)_{t\ge 0}$
    is a classical stochastic volatility process and $X = (X_t)_{t\ge 0}$ is an
    independent L\'evy process with absolutely continuous L\'evy measure $\nu$.
    Small-time expansions, of arbitrary polynomial order in time $t$, are obtained
    for the tails $\bbp(Z_t \ge z)$, $z >0$, and for the call-option prices
    $\bbe(e^{z+Z_t} - 1)_+$, $z\neq 0$, assuming smoothness conditions on the
    L\'evy density away from the origin and a small-time large de

  101. Asset pricing with random information flow.

    Authors: Dorje C. Brody, Yan Tai Law
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    In the information-based approach to asset pricing the market filtration is
    modelled explicitly as a superposition of signals concerning relevant market
    factors and independent noise. The rate at which the signal is revealed to the
    market then determines the overall magnitude of asset volatility. By letting
    this information flow rate random, we obtain an elementary stochastic
    volatility model within the information-based approach. Such an extension is
    economically justified on account of the fact that in real markets information
    flow rates are rarely measurable.

  102. Perpetual Cancellable American Call Option.

    Authors: Thomas J. Emmerling
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    This paper examines the valuation of a generalized American-style option
    known as a Game-style call option in an infinite time horizon setting. The
    specifications of this contract allow the writer to terminate the call option
    at any point in time for a fixed penalty amount paid directly to the holder.
    Valuation of a perpetual Game-style put option was addressed by Kyprianou
    (2004) in a Black-Scholes setting on a non-dividend paying asset.

  103. Completing CVA and Liquidity: Firm-Level Positions and Collateralized Trades.

    Authors: Chris Kenyon
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    Bilateral CVA as currently implement has the counterintuitive effect of
    profiting from one's own widening CDS spreads, i.e. increased risk of default,
    in practice. The unified picture of CVA and liquidity introduced by Morini &
    Prampolini 2010 has contributed to understanding this. However, there are two
    significant omissions for practical implementation that come from the same
    source, i.e. positions not booked in usual position-keeping systems. The first
    omission is firm-level positions that change value upon firm default.

  104. Small-time asymptotics for fast mean-reverting stochastic volatility models.

    Authors: Jean-Pierre Fouque, Jin Feng, Rohini Kumar
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    In this paper, we study stochastic volatility models in regimes where the
    maturity is small but large compared to the mean-reversion time of the
    stochastic volatility factor. The problem falls in the class of
    averaging/homogenization problems for nonlinear HJB type equations where the
    "fast variable" lives in a non-compact space. We develop a general argument
    based on viscosity solutions which we apply to the two regimes studied in the
    paper.

  105. Normalization for Implied Volatility.

    Authors: Masaaki Fukasawa
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We study specific nonlinear transformations of the Black-Scholes implied
    volatility to show remarkable properties of the volatility surface. Model-free
    bounds on the implied volatility skew are given. Pricing formulas for the
    European options which are written in terms of the implied volatility are
    given. In particular, we prove elegant formulas for the fair strikes of the
    variance swap and the gamma swap.

  106. Path Integral and Asian Options.

    Authors: Peng Zhang
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    In this paper we analytically study the pricing of the arithmetically
    averaged Asian option in the path integral formalism. By a trick about the
    Dirac delta function, the measure of the path integral is defined by an
    effective action whose potential term is an exponential function, i.e. the
    Liouville Hamiltonian, which can be explicitly solved. After working out some
    auxiliary integrations involving Bessel and Whittaker functions, we arrive at
    the spectral expansion expression of the value of an Asian option.

  107. A new class of dynamic pricing principles and recursive utilities based on time-delayed backward stochastic differential equations.

    Authors: Łukasz Delong
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    In this paper we consider a new class of dynamic pricing principles and
    recursive utilities. We start with the interpretation of the generator of a
    backward stochastic differential equation as an infinitesimal pricing rule or
    an instantaneous utility. With this interpretation the generator has an
    economic meaning and describes the subjective views of the investor concerning
    the expected change in the price or the utility. We give a motivation for
    considering non-Markovian generators of BSDEs which leads us to the study of
    so-called time-delayed backward stochastic differential equations.

  108. Optimal Timing to Purchase Options.

    Authors: Michael Ludkovski, Tim Leung
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We study the timing of derivative purchases in incomplete markets. In our
    model, an investor attempts to maximize the spread between her model price and
    the offered market price through optimally timing her purchase. Both the
    investor and the market value the options by risk-neutral expectations but
    under different equivalent martingale measures representing different market
    views. We show that the structure of the resulting optimal stopping problem
    depends on the interaction between the respective market price of risk and the
    option payoff.

  109. Models of self-financing hedging strategies in illiquid markets: symmetry reductions and exact solutions.

    Authors: Ljudmila A. Bordag, Anna Mikaelyan
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We study the general model of self-financing trading strategies in illiquid
    markets introduced by Schoenbucher and Wilmott, 2000. A hedging strategy in the
    framework of this model satisfies a nonlinear partial differential equation
    (PDE) which contains some function g(alpha). This function is deep connected to
    an utility function. We describe the Lie symmetry algebra of this PDE and
    provide a complete set of reductions of the PDE to ordinary differential
    equations (ODEs). In addition we are able to describe all types of functions
    g(alpha) for which the PDE admits an extended Lie group.

  110. Moment Explosion in the LIBOR Market Model.

    Authors: Stefan Gerhold
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    In the LIBOR market model, forward interest rates are log-normal under their
    respective forward measures. This note shows that their distributions under the
    other forward measures of the tenor structure have approximately log-normal
    tails.

  111. Asymptotic equivalence in Lee's moment formulas for the implied volatility and Piterbarg's conjecture.

    Authors: Archil Gulisashvili
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    The asymptotic behavior of the implied volatility associated with a general
    call pricing function has been extensively studied in the last decade. The main
    topics discussed in this paper are Lee's moment formulas for the implied
    volatility, and Piterbarg's conjecture, describing how the implied volatility
    behaves in the case where all the moments of the stock price are finite. We
    find various conditions guaranteeing the existence of the limit in Lee's moment
    formulas.

  112. A Fast Mean-Reverting Correction to Heston's Stochastic Volatility Model.

    Authors: Jean-Pierre Fouque, Matthew Lorig
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We propose a multi-scale stochastic volatility model in which a fast
    mean-reverting factor of volatility is built on top of the Heston stochastic
    volatility model. A singular pertubative expansion is then used to obtain an
    approximation for European option prices.

  113. Spectral Decomposition of Option Prices in Fast Mean-Reverting Stochastic Volatility Models.

    Authors: Sebastian Jaimungal, Jean-Pierre Fouque, Matthew Lorig
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    Using spectral decomposition techniques and singular perturbation theory, we
    develop a systematic method to approximate the prices of a variety of options
    in a fast mean-reverting stochastic volatility setting. Four examples are
    provided in order to demonstrate the versatility of our method. These include:
    European options, up-and-out options, double-barrier knock-out options, and
    options which pay a rebate upon hitting a boundary. For European options, our
    method is shown to produce option price approximations which are equivalent to
    those developed in [5].

  114. Approximations and asymptotics of upper hedging prices in multinomial models.

    Authors: Akimichi Takemura, Masayuki Kumon, Kei Takeuchi, Ryuichi Nakajima
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We give an exposition and numerical studies of upper hedging prices in
    multinomial models from the viewpoint of linear programming and the
    game-theoretic probability of Shafer and Vovk. We also show that, as the number
    of rounds goes to infinity, the upper hedging price of a European option
    converges to the solution of the Black-Scholes-Barenblatt equation.

  115. Pricing in an equilibrium based model for a large investor.

    Authors: David German
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We study a financial model with a non-trivial price impact effect. In this
    model we consider the interaction of a large investor trading in an illiquid
    security, and a market maker who is quoting prices for this security. We assume
    that the market maker quotes the prices such that by taking the other side of
    the investor's demand, the market maker will arrive at maturity with the
    maximal expected utility of the terminal wealth.

  116. A Cautious Note on the Design of Volatility Derivatives.

    Authors: Eckhard Platen, Leunglung Chan
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    This cautious note aims to point at the potential risks for the financial
    system caused by various increasingly popular volatility derivatives including
    variance swaps on futures of equity indices. It investigates the pricing of
    variance swaps under the 3/2 volatility model. Carr with Itkin and Sun have
    discussed the pricing of variance swaps under this type of model. This paper
    studies a special case of this model and observes an explosion of prices for
    squared volatility and variance swaps.

  117. CDO term structure modelling with Levy processes and the relation to market models.

    Authors: Jerzy Zabczyk, Thorsten Schmidt
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    This paper considers the modelling of collateralized debt obligations (CDOs).
    We propose a top-down model via forward rates generalizing Filipovi\'c,
    Overbeck and Schmidt (2009) to the case where the forward rates are driven by a
    finite dimensional L\'evy process. The contribution of this work is twofold: we
    provide conditions for absence of arbitrage in this generalized framework.
    Furthermore, we study the relation to market models by embedding them in the
    forward rate framework.

  118. Interest-Rate Modeling with Multiple Yield Curves.

    Authors: Andrea Pallavicini, Marco Tarenghi
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    The crisis that affected financial markets in the last years leaded market
    practitioners to revise well known basic concepts like the ones of discount
    factors and forward rates. A single yield curve is not sufficient any longer to
    describe the market of interest rate products. On the other hand, using
    different yield curves at the same time requires a reformulation of most of the
    basic assumptions made in interest rate models.

  119. Bounds on Stock Price probability distributions in Local-Stochastic Volatility models.

    Authors: Vlad Bally, Stefano De Marco
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We show that in a large class of stochastic volatility models with additional
    skew-functions (local-stochastic volatility models) the tails of the cumulative
    distribution of the log-returns behave as exp(-c|y|), where c is a positive
    constant depending on time and on model parameters. We obtain this estimate
    proving a stronger result: using some estimates for the probability that Ito
    processes remain around a deterministic curve from Bally et al.

  120. Credit Risk, Market Sentiment and Randomly-Timed Default.

    Authors: Lane P. Hughston, Andrea Macrina, Dorje C. Brody
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We propose a model for the credit markets in which the random default times
    of bonds are assumed to be given as functions of one or more independent
    "market factors". Market participants are assumed to have partial information
    about each of the market factors, represented by the values of a set of market
    factor information processes. The market filtration is taken to be generated
    jointly by the various information processes and by the default indicator
    processes of the various bonds.

  121. Derivatives Pricing and Nonstochastic Randomness: Pricing as Decision Problem.

    Authors: Yaroslav Ivanenko
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    A version of indifference pricing methodology is proposed that shows how to
    include statistical regularities of nonstochastic randomness in pricing
    relations. The problem of pricing of a European option is considered as a
    decision making problem, with price being a decision. Classical relations
    (forward contract value and Black-Scholes formula, in particular) are obtained
    as particular cases. We show that in the general case of nonstochastic
    randomness the minimal expected profit of uncovered European option position is
    always negative.

  122. Small-Time Asymptotics of Option Prices and First Absolute Moments.

    Authors: Johannes Muhle-Karbe, Marcel Nutz
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We study the leading term in the small-time asymptotics of at-the-money call
    option prices when the stock price process $S$ follows a general martingale.
    This is equivalent to studying the first centered absolute moment of $S$. We
    show that if $S$ has a continuous part, the leading term is of order $\sqrt{T}$
    in time $T$ and depends only on the initial value of the volatility.
    Furthermore, the term is linear in $T$ if and only if $S$ is of finite
    variation.

  123. Good-deal bounds in a regime-switching market.

    Authors: Catherine Donnelly
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We consider option pricing in a regime-switching market. As the market is
    incomplete, there is no unique price for a derivative. We apply the good-deal
    bounds idea to obtain ranges for the price of a derivative. As an illustration,
    we calculate the good-deal pricing bounds for a European call option. We
    examine the stability of the good-deal pricing bounds for the European call
    option when we change the market model's parameters. We find that the pricing
    bounds depend strongly on the market parameters.

  124. Market models for CDOs driven by time-inhomogeneous L\'evy processes.

    Authors: Ernst Eberlein, Zorana Grbac, Thorsten Schmidt
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    This paper considers a top-down approach for CDO valuation and proposes a
    market model. We extend previous research on this topic in two directions: on
    the one side, we use as driving process for the interest rate dynamics a
    time-inhomogeneous L\'evy process, and on the other side, we do not assume that
    all maturities are available in the market. Only a discrete tenor structure is
    considered, which is in the spirit of the classical Libor market model. We
    create a general framework for market models based on multidimensional
    semimartingales.

  125. Security Pricing with Information-Sensitive Discounting.

    Authors: Andrea Macrina, Priyanka A. Parbhoo
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    In this paper incomplete-information models are developed for the pricing of
    securities in a stochastic interest rate setting. In particular we consider
    credit-risky assets that may include random recovery upon default. The market
    filtration is generated by a collection of information processes associated
    with economic factors, on which interest rates depend, and information
    processes associated with market factors used to model the cash flows of the
    securities. We use information-sensitive pricing kernels to give rise to
    stochastic interest rates.

  126. The Impact of Credit Risk and Implied Volatility on Stock Returns.

    Authors: Florian Steiger
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    This paper examines the possibility of using derivative-implied risk premia
    to explain stock returns. The rapid development of derivative markets has led
    to the possibility of trading various kinds of risks, such as credit and
    interest rate risk, separately from each other. This paper uses credit default
    swaps and equity options to determine risk premia which are then used to form
    portfolios that are regressed against the returns of stock portfolios. It turns
    out that both, credit risk and implied volatility, have high explanatory power
    in regard to stock returns.

  127. Applications of time-delayed backward stochastic differential equations to pricing, hedging and management of insurance and financial risks.

    Authors: Lukasz Delong
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    In this paper we investigate novel applications of a new class of equations
    which we call time-delayed backward stochastic differential equations. We show
    that many pricing and hedging problems concerning structured products,
    participating products or variable annuities can be handled by this equations.
    Time-delayed BSDEs may appear when we want to find a strategy and a portfolio
    which should replicate the liability whose pay-off depends on the applied
    investment strategy or the values of the portfolio.

  128. Market Price of Risk and Random Field Driven Models of Term Structure: A Space-Time Change of Measure Look.

    Authors: Hassan Allouba, Victor Goodman
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    No-arbitrage models of term structure have the feature that the return on
    zero-coupon bonds is the sum of the short rate and the product of volatility
    and market price of risk. Well known models restrict the behavior of the market
    price of risk so that it is not dependent on the type of asset being modeled.
    We show that the models recently proposed by Goldstein and Santa-Clara and
    Sornette, among others, allow the market price of risk to depend on
    characteristics of each asset, and we quantify this dependence.

  129. Stock loan model with Automatic termination clause.

    Authors: Zongxia Liang, Weiming Wu, Shuqing Jiang
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    This paper works out fair values of stock loan model with automatic
    termination clause. This stock loan is treated as a generalized perpetual
    American option with an automatic termination clause and possibly negative
    interest rate. Since it helps a bank to control the risk, banks should charge
    less service fees compared to stock loans without automatic termination
    clauses. The automatic termination clause is in fact a stop order set by the
    bank.

  130. Variational inequality method in stock loans.

    Authors: Zongxia Liang, Weiming Wu
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    In this paper we first introduce two new financial products:

    stock loan and capped stock loan. Then we develop a pure variational

    inequality method to establish explicitly the values of these stock loans.

    Finally, we work out ranges of fair values of parameters associated with

    the loans.

  131. No-arbitrage pricing under cross-ownership.

    Authors: Tom Fischer
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We generalize Merton's asset valuation approach to systems of multiple
    financial firms where cross-ownership of equities and liabilities is present.
    The liabilities, which may include debts and derivatives, can be of differing
    seniority. We derive equations for the prices of equities and recovery claims
    under no-arbitrage. An existence result and a uniqueness result are proven.
    Examples and an algorithm for the simultaneous calculation of all no-arbitrage
    prices are provided.

  132. Vanna-Volga methods applied to FX derivatives : from theory to market practice.

    Authors: Frédéric Bossens, Grégory Rayée, Nikos S. Skantzos, Griselda Deelstra
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We study Vanna-Volga methods which are used to price first generation exotic
    options in the Foreign Exchange market. They are based on a rescaling of the
    correction to the Black-Scholes price through the so-called `probability of
    survival' and the `expected first exit time'. Since the methods rely heavily on
    the appropriate treatment of market data we also provide a summary of the
    relevant conventions. We offer a justification of the core technique for the
    case of vanilla options and show how to adapt it to the pricing of exotic
    options.

  133. On the fractional Black-Scholes market with transaction costs.

    Authors: Ehsan Azmoodeh
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We consider fractional Black-Scholes market with proportional transaction
    costs. When transaction costs are present, one trades periodically i.e. we have
    the discrete trading with equidistance $n^{-1}$ between trading times. We
    derive a non trivial hedging error for a class of European options with convex
    payoff in the case when the transaction costs coefficients decrease as
    $n^{-(1-H)}$. We study the expected hedging error and asymptotic behavior of
    the hedge as $H \to 1/2$

  134. Delta Hedging in Financial Engineering: Towards a Model-Free Approach.

    Authors: Cédric Join, Michel Fliess
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    Delta hedging, which plays a crucial r\^ole in modern financial engineering,
    is a tracking control design for a "risk-free" management. We utilize the
    existence of trends in financial time series (Fliess M., Join C.: A
    mathematical proof of the existence of trends in financial time series, Proc.
    Int. Conf. Systems Theory: Modelling, Analysis and Control, Fes, 2009. Online:
    this http URL) in order to propose a model-free
    setting for delta hedging.

  135. A Dynamic Correlation Modelling Framework with Consistent Stochastic Recovery.

    Authors: Yadong Li
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    This paper describes a flexible and tractable bottom-up dynamic correlation
    modelling framework with a consistent stochastic recovery specification. The
    stochastic recovery specification only models the first two moments of the spot
    recovery rate as its higher moments have almost no contribution to the loss
    distribution and CDO tranche pricing.

  136. Fractional processes as models in stochastic finance.

    Authors: Christian Bender, Tommi Sottinen, Esko Valkeila
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We survey some new progress on the pricing models driven by fractional
    Brownian motion \cb{or} mixed fractional Brownian motion. In particular, we
    give results on arbitrage opportunities, hedging, and option pricing in these
    models. We summarize some recent results on fractional Black & Scholes pricing
    model with transaction costs. We end the paper by giving some approximation
    results and indicating some open problems related to the paper.

  137. Results on numerics for FBSDE with drivers of quadratic growth.

    Authors: Peter Imkeller, Gonçalo dos Reis, Jianing Zhang
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We consider the problem of numerical approximation for forward-backward
    stochastic differential equations with drivers of quadratic growth (qgFBSDE).
    To illustrate the significance of qgFBSDE, we discuss a problem of cross
    hedging of an insurance related financial derivative using correlated assets.
    For the convergence of numerical approximation schemes for such systems of
    stochastic equations, path regularity of the solution processes is
    instrumental. We present a method based on the truncation of the driver, and
    explicitly exhibit error estimates as functions of the truncation height.

  138. Consistent Valuation of Bespoke CDO Tranches.

    Authors: Yadong Li
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    This paper describes a consistent and arbitrage-free pricing methodology for
    bespoke CDO tranches. The proposed method is a multi-factor extension to the
    (Li 2009) model, and it is free of the known flaws in the current standard
    pricing method of base correlation mapping. This method assigns a distinct
    market factor to each liquid credit index and models the correlation between
    these market factors explicitly. A low-dimensional semi-analytical Monte Carlo
    is shown to be very efficient in computing the PVs and risks of bespoke
    tranches.

  139. Valuation Bound of Tranche Options.

    Authors: Yadong Li, Ariye Shater
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We performed a comprehensive analysis on the price bounds of CDO tranche
    options, and illustrated that the CDO tranche option prices can be effectively
    bounded by the joint distribution of default time (JDDT) from a default time
    copula. Systemic and idiosyncratic factors beyond the JDDT only contribute a
    limited amount of pricing uncertainty. The price bounds of tranche option
    derived from a default time copula are often very narrow, especially for the
    senior part of the capital structure where there is the most market interests
    for tranche options.

  140. Variance dispersion and correlation swaps.

    Authors: Antoine Jacquier, Saad Slaoui
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    In the recent years, banks have sold structured products such as worst-of
    options, Everest and Himalayas, resulting in a short correlation exposure. They
    have hence become interested in offsetting part of this exposure, namely buying
    back correlation. Two ways have been proposed for such a strategy : either pure
    correlation swaps or dispersion trades, taking position in an index option and
    the opposite position in the components options. These dispersion trades have
    been set up using calls, puts, straddles, variance swaps as well as third
    generation volatility products.

  141. Continuous time Ehrenfest process in term structure modelling.

    Authors: Alexander Kaplun
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    In this paper, a finite-state mean-reverting model for the short-rate, based
    on the continuous time Ehrenfest process, will be examined. Two explicit
    pricing formulae for zero-coupon bonds will be derived in the general and the
    special symmetric cases. Its limiting relationship to the Vasicek model will be
    examined with some numerical results.

  142. Diversity and Arbitrage in a Regulatory Breakup Model.

    Authors: Jean-Pierre Fouque, Winslow Strong
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    In 1999 Robert Fernholz observed an inconsistency between the normative
    assumption of existence of an equivalent martingale measure (EMM) and the
    empirical reality of diversity in equity markets. We explore a method of
    imposing diversity on market models by a type of antitrust regulation that is
    compatible with EMMs. The regulatory procedure breaks up companies that become
    too large, while holding the total number of companies constant by imposing a
    simultaneous merge of other companies.

  143. Asymptotics and Exact Pricing of Options on Variance.

    Authors: Martin Keller-Ressel, Johannes Muhle-Karbe
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We consider the pricing of derivatives written on the discrete realized
    variance of an underlying security. In the literature, the realized variance is
    usually approximated by its continuous-time limit, the quadratic variation of
    the underlying log-price. Here, we characterize the short-time limits of call
    options on both objects. We find that the difference strongly depends on
    whether or not the stock price process has jumps.

  144. Hedging under arbitrage.

    Authors: Johannes Ruf
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    It is shown that delta hedging provides the optimal trading strategy in terms
    of minimal required initial capital to replicate a given terminal payoff in a
    continuous-time Markovian context. This holds true in market models where no
    equivalent local martingale measure exists but only a square-integrable market
    price of risk. A new probability measure is constructed, which takes the place
    of an equivalent local martingale measure.

  145. On the Dybvig-Ingersoll-Ross Theorem.

    Authors: Eckhard Platen, Constantinos Kardaras
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    The Dybvig-Ingersoll-Ross (DIR) theorem states that, in arbitrage-free term
    structure models, long-term yields and forward rates can never fall. We present
    a refined version of the DIR theorem, where we identify the reciprocal of the
    maturity date as the maximal order that long-term rates at earlier dates can
    dominate long-term rates at later dates. The viability assumption imposed on
    the market model is weaker than those appearing previously in the literature.

  146. Student's t-Distribution Based Option Sensitivities: Greeks for the Gosset Formulae.

    Authors: Daniel T. Cassidy, Michael J. Hamp, Rachid Ouyed
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    European options can be priced when returns follow a Student's
    t-distribution, provided that the asset is capped in value or the distribution
    is truncated. We call pricing of options using a log Student's t-distribution a
    Gosset approach, in honour of W.S. Gosset. In this paper, we compare the greeks
    for Gosset and Black-Scholes formulae and we discuss implementation. The
    t-distribution requires a shape parameter \nu to match the "fat tails" of the
    observed returns. For large \nu, the Gosset and Black-Scholes formulae are
    equivalent.

  147. Perturbed Copula: Introducing the skew effect in the co-dependence.

    Authors: Alberto Elices, Jean-Pierre Fouque
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    Gaussian copulas are widely used in the industry to correlate two random
    variables when there is no prior knowledge about the co-dependence between
    them. The perturbed Gaussian copula approach allows introducing the skew
    information of both random variables into the co-dependence structure. The
    analytical expression of this copula is derived through an asymptotic expansion
    under the assumption of a common fast mean reverting stochastic volatility
    factor.

  148. Convergence of Heston to SVI.

    Authors: Antoine Jacquier, Jim Gatheral
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    In this short note, we prove by an appropriate change of variables that the
    SVI implied volatility parameterization presented in Gatheral's book and the
    large-time asymptotic of the Heston implied volatility agree algebraically,
    thus confirming a conjecture from Gatheral as well as providing a simpler
    expression for the asymptotic implied volatility in the Heston model. We show
    how this result can help in interpreting SVI parameters.

  149. Information Asymmetry in Pricing of Credit Derivatives.

    Authors: Ying Jiao, Caroline Hillairet
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We study the pricing of credit derivatives with asymmetric information. The
    managers have complete information on the value process of the firm and on the
    default threshold, while the investors on the market have only partial
    observations, especially about the default threshold. Different information
    structures are distinguished using the framework of enlargement of filtrations.
    We specify risk neutral probabilities and we evaluate default sensitive
    contingent claims in these cases.

  150. Free Lunch.

    Authors: Constantinos Kardaras
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    The concept of absence of opportunities for free lunches is one of the
    pillars in the economic theory of financial markets. This natural assumption
    has proved very fruitful and has lead to great mathematical, as well as
    economical, insights in Quantitative Finance. Formulating rigorously the exact
    definition of absence of opportunities for riskless profit turned out to be a
    highly non-trivial fact that troubled mathematicians and economists for at
    least two decades.

  151. Semi-static hedging for certain Margrabe type options with barriers.

    Authors: Michael Schmutz
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    It turns out that in the bivariate Black-Scholes economy Margrabe type
    options exhibit symmetry properties leading to semi-static hedges of rather
    general barrier options. Some of the results are extended to variants obtained
    by means of Brownian subordination. In order to increase the liquidity of the
    hedging instruments for certain currency options, the duality principle can be
    applied to set up hedges in a foreign market by using only European vanilla
    options sometimes along with a risk-less bond.

  152. A model-insensitive determination of First-hitting-time densities with Application to Equity default-swaps.

    Authors: Alex Langnau
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    Equity default-swaps pay the holder a fixed amount of money when the
    underlying spot level touches a (far-down) barrier during the life of the
    instrument. While most pricing models give reasonable results when the barrier
    lies within the range of liquidly traded strikes of plain-vanilla option
    prices, the situation is more involved for extremely out-of-the money barriers.
    In this paper we discuss a model-insensitive approach for the determination of
    first hitting times that does not rely on the full a priori knowledge of the
    stochastic process for the price dynamics.

  153. One-Dimensional Pricing of CPPI.

    Authors: Louis Paulot, Xavier Lacroze
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    Constant Proportion Portfolio Insurance (CPPI) is an investment strategy
    designed to give participation in the performance of a risky asset while
    protecting the invested capital. This protection is however not perfect and the
    gap risk must be quantified. CPPI strategies are path-dependent and may have
    American exercise which makes their valuation complex. A naive description of
    the state of the portfolio would involve three or even four variables.

  154. Pricing options in illiquid markets: optimal systems, symmetry reductions and exact solutions.

    Authors: Ljudmila A. Bordag
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We study a class of nonlinear pricing models which involves the feedback
    effect from the dynamic hedging strategies on the price of asset introduced by
    Sircar and Papanicolaou. We are first to study the case of a nonlinear demand
    function involved in the model. Using a Lie group analysis we investigate the
    symmetry properties of these nonlinear diffusion equations. We provide the
    optimal systems of subalgebras and the complete set of non-equivalent
    reductions of studied PDEs to ODEs. In most cases we obtain families of exact
    solutions or derive particular solutions to the equations.

  155. GARCH options via local risk minimization.

    Authors: Juan-Pablo Ortega
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We apply a quadratic hedging scheme developed by Foellmer, Schweizer, and
    Sondermann to European contingent products whose underlying asset is modeled
    using a GARCH process and show that local risk-minimizing strategies with
    respect to the physical measure do exist, even though an associated minimal
    martingale measure is only available in the presence of bounded innovations.
    More importantly, since those local risk-minimizing strategies are in general
    convoluted and difficult to evaluate, we introduce Girsanov-like risk-neutral
    measures for the log-prices that yield more tractable and usefu

  156. Option pricing under Ornstein-Uhlenbeck stochastic volatility: a linear model.

    Authors: Giacomo Bormetti, Valentina Cazzola, Danilo Delpini
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We consider the problem of option pricing under stochastic volatility models,
    focusing on the linear approximation of the two processes known as exponential
    Ornstein-Uhlenbeck and Stein-Stein. Indeed, we show they admit the same limit
    dynamics in the regime of low fluctuations of the volatility process, under
    which we derive the exact expression of the characteristic function associated
    to the risk neutral probability density. Its knowledge allows us to compute
    option prices exploiting Lewis and Lipton formula.

  157. The impact of uncertainties on the pricing of contingent claims.

    Authors: Simone Scotti
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We study the effect of parameters uncertainties on a stochastic diffusion
    model, in particular the impact on the pricing of contingent claims, thanks to
    Dirichlet Forms methods. We apply recent techniques, developed by Bouleau, to
    hedging procedures in order to compute the sensitivities of SDE trajectories
    with respect to parameter perturbations. We show that this model can reproduce
    a bid-ask spread. We also prove that, if the stochastic differential equation
    admits a closed form representation, also the sensitivities have closed form
    representations.

  158. New Financial Research Program: General Option-Price Wave Modeling.

    Authors: Vladimir G. Ivancevic
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    Recently, a novel adaptive wave model for financial option pricing has been
    proposed in the form of adaptive nonlinear Schr\"{o}dinger (NLS) equation
    [Ivancevic a], as a high-complexity alternative to the linear
    Black-Scholes-Merton model [Black-Scholes-Merton]. Its quantum-mechanical basis
    has been elaborated in [Ivancevic b]. Both the solitary and shock-wave
    solutions of the nonlinear model, as well as its linear (periodic) quantum
    simplification are shown to successfully fit the Black-Scholes data, and define
    the financial Greeks.

  159. Extra-Dimensional Approach to Option Pricing and Stochastic Volatility.

    Authors: Minh Q. Truong
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    The generalized 5D Black-Scholes differential equation with stochastic
    volatility is derived. The projections of the stochastic evolutions associated
    with the random variables from an enlarged space or superspace onto an ordinary
    space can be achieved via higher-dimensional operators. The stochastic nature
    of the securities and volatility associated with the 3D Merton-Garman equation
    can then be interpreted as the effects of the extra dimensions. We showed that
    the Merton-Garman equation is the first excited state, i.e.

  160. A comprehensive method for exotic option pricing.

    Authors: Rossella Agliardi
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    This work illustrates how several new pricing formulas for exotic options can
    be derived within a Levy framework by employing a unique pricing expression.
    Many existing pricing formulas of the traditional Gaussian model are obtained
    as a by-product.

  161. Option pricing in multivariate stochastic volatility models of OU type.

    Authors: Robert Stelzer, Oliver Pfaffel, Johannes Muhle-Karbe
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We present a multivariate stochastic volatility model with leverage, which is
    flexible enough to recapture the individual dynamics as well as the
    interdependencies between several assets while still being highly analytically
    tractable.

  162. Market viability via absence of arbitrages of the first kind.

    Authors: Constantinos Kardaras
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    In a semimartingale financial market model, it is shown that there is
    equivalence between absence of arbitrages of the first kind (a weak viability
    condition) and the existence of a strictly positive process that acts as a
    local martingale deflator on nonnegative wealth processes.

  163. Arbitrage Bounds for Weighted Variance Swap Prices.

    Authors: Jan Obloj, Mark H.A. Davis, Vimal Raval
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    Consider a frictionless market trading a finite number of co-maturing
    European call and put options written on a risky asset plus an instrument with
    path-dependent payoff known as a weighted variance swap, e.g. a vanilla
    variance swap or a corridor variance swap. The question we ask is: Do the
    traded prices admit an arbitrage opportunity? We determine necessary and
    sufficient model-free conditions for the price of a continuously monitored
    weighted variance swap to be consistent with absence of arbitrage.

  164. Two Curves, One Price: Pricing & Hedging Interest Rate Derivatives Decoupling Forwarding and Discounting Yield Curves.

    Authors: Marco Bianchetti
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We revisit the problem of pricing and hedging plain vanilla single-currency
    interest rate derivatives using multiple distinct yield curves for market
    coherent estimation of discount factors and forward rates with different
    underlying rate tenors.

  165. An Economic analogy to Electrodynamics.

    Authors: Sanjay Dasari, Anindya Kumar Biswas
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    In this note, we would like to find the laws of electrodynamics in simple
    economic systems. In this direction, we identify the chief economic variables
    and parameters, scalar and vector, which are amenable to be put directly into
    the crouch of the laws of electrodynamics, namely Maxwell's equations.
    Moreover, we obtain Phillp's curve, recession and Black-Scholes formula, as
    sample applications.

  166. Forward equations for option prices in semimartingale models.

    Authors: Amel Bentata, Rama Cont
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We derive a forward partial integro-differential equation for prices of call
    options in a model where the dynamics of the underlying asset under the pricing
    measure is described by a -possibly discontinuous- semimartingale. This result
    generalizes Dupire's forward equation to a large class of non-Markovian models
    with jumps.

  167. A Subjective and Probabilistic Approach to Derivatives.

    Authors: Ulrich Kirchner
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We propose a probabilistic framework for pricing derivatives, which
    acknowledges that information and beliefs are subjective. Market prices can be
    translated into implied probabilities. In particular, futures imply returns for
    these implied probability distributions. We argue that volatility is not risk,
    but uncertainty. Non-normal distributions combine the risk in the left tail
    with the opportunities in the right tail -- unifying the "risk premium" with
    the possible loss. Risk and reward must be part of the same picture and
    expected returns must include possible losses due to risks.

  168. The Underlying Dynamics of Credit Correlations.

    Authors: Arthur M. Berd, Robert F. Engle, Artem Voronov
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We propose a hybrid model of portfolio credit risk where the dynamics of the
    underlying latent variables is governed by a one factor GARCH process. The
    distinctive feature of such processes is that the long-term aggregate return
    distributions can substantially deviate from the asymptotic Gaussian limit for
    very long horizons. We introduce the notion of correlation surface as a
    convenient tool for comparing portfolio credit loss generating models and
    pricing synthetic CDO tranches.

  169. Recovery Swaps.

    Authors: Arthur M. Berd
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We derive an arbitrage free relationship between recovery swap rates, digital
    default swap spreads and conventional CDS spreads, and argue that the fair
    forward recovery rate used in recovery swaps must contain a convexity premium
    over the expected recovery value.

  170. Adaptive Wave Models for Option Pricing Evolution: Nonlinear and Quantum Schr\"odinger Approaches.

    Authors: Vladimir G. Ivancevic
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    Adaptive wave model for financial option pricing is proposed, as a
    high-complexity alternative to the standard Black--Scholes model. The new
    option-pricing model, representing a controlled Brownian motion, includes two
    wave-type approaches: nonlinear and quantum, both based on (adaptive form of)
    the Schr\"odinger equation.

  171. Pricing and hedging barrier options in a hyper-exponential additive model.

    Authors: Martijn Pistorius, Marc Jeannin
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    In this paper we develop an algorithm to calculate the prices and Greeks of
    barrier options in a hyper-exponential additive model with piecewise constant
    parameters. We obtain an explicit semi-analytical expression for the
    first-passage probability. The solution rests on a randomization and an
    explicit matrix Wiener-Hopf factorization. Employing this result we derive
    explicit expressions for the Laplace-Fourier transforms of the prices and
    Greeks of barrier options.

  172. Probabilities of Positive Returns and Values of Call Options.

    Authors: Guanghui Huang, Jianping Wan
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    The true probability of a European call option to achieve positive return is
    investigated under the Black-Scholes model. It is found that the probability is
    determined by those market factors appearing in the BS formula, besides the
    growth rate of stock price. Our numerical investigations indicate that the
    biases of BS formula is correlated with the growth rate of stock price. An
    alternative method to price European call option is proposed, which adopts an
    equilibrium argument to determine option price through the probability of
    positive return.

  173. Defining, Estimating and Using Credit Term Structures. Part 1: Consistent Valuation Measures.

    Authors: Arthur M. Berd, Roy Mashal, Peili Wang
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    In this three-part series of papers, we argue that the conventional spread
    measures are not well defined for credit-risky bonds and introduce a set of
    credit term structures which correct for the biases associated with the
    strippable cash flow valuation assumption. We demonstrate that the resulting
    estimates are significantly more robust and remain meaningful even when applied
    to deeply distressed bonds.

  174. Defining, Estimating and Using Credit Term Structures. Part 2: Consistent Risk Measures.

    Authors: Arthur M. Berd, Roy Mashal, Peili Wang
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    In the second part of our series we suggest new definitions of credit bond
    duration and convexity that remain consistent across all levels of credit
    quality including deeply distressed bonds and introduce additional risk
    measures that are consistent with the survival-based valuation framework. We
    then show how to use these risk measures for the construction of market neutral
    portfolios.

  175. Defining, Estimating and Using Credit Term Structures. Part 3: Consistent CDS-Bond Basis.

    Authors: Arthur M. Berd, Roy Mashal, Peili Wang
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    In the third part of this series we introduce consistent relative value
    measures for CDS-Bond basis trades using the bond-implied CDS term structure
    derived from fitted survival rate curves. We explain why this measure is better
    than the traditionally used Z-spread or Libor OAS and offer simplified hedging
    and trading strategies which take advantage of the relative value across the
    entire range of maturities of cash and synthetic credit markets.

  176. A Guide to Modeling Credit Term Structures.

    Authors: Arthur M. Berd
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We give a comprehensive review of credit term structure modeling
    methodologies. The conventional approach to modeling credit term structure is
    summarized and shown to be equivalent to a particular type of the reduced form
    credit risk model, the fractional recovery of market value approach. We argue
    that the corporate practice and market observations do not support this
    approach.

  177. Credit Calibration with Structural Models: The Lehman case and Equity Swaps under Counterparty Risk.

    Authors: Damiano Brigo, Marco Tarenghi, Massimo Morini
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    In this paper we develop structural first passage models (AT1P and SBTV) with
    time-varying volatility and characterized by high tractability, moving from the
    original work of Brigo and Tarenghi (2004, 2005) [19] [20] and Brigo and Morini
    (2006)[15]. The models can be calibrated exactly to credit spreads using
    efficient closed-form formulas for default probabilities. Default events are
    caused by the value of the firm assets hitting a safety threshold, which
    depends on the financial situation of the company and on market conditions. In
    AT1P this default barrier is deterministic.

  178. From the decompositions of a stopping time to risk premium decompositions.

    Authors: Delia Coculescu
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We build a general model for pricing defaultable claims. In addition to the
    usual absence of arbitrage assumption, we assume that one defaultable asset (at
    least) looses value when the default occurs. We prove that under this
    assumption, in some standard market filtrations, default times are totally
    inaccessible stopping times; we therefore proceed to a systematic construction
    of default times with particular emphasis on totally inaccessible stopping
    times.

  179. Credit Default Swap Calibration and Equity Swap Valuation under Counterparty Risk with a Tractable Structural Model.

    Authors: Damiano Brigo, Marco Tarenghi
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    In this paper we develop a tractable structural model with analytical default
    probabilities depending on some dynamics parameters, and we show how to
    calibrate the model using a chosen number of Credit Default Swap (CDS) market
    quotes. We essentially show how to use structural models with a calibration
    capability that is typical of the much more tractable credit-spread based
    intensity models. We apply the structural model to a concrete calibration case
    and observe what happens to the calibrated dynamics when the CDS-implied credit
    quality deteriorates as the firm approaches default.

  180. Credit Default Swap Calibration and Counterparty Risk Valuation with a Scenario based First Passage Model.

    Authors: Damiano Brigo, Marco Tarenghi
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    In this work we develop a tractable structural model with analytical default
    probabilities depending on a random default barrier and possibly random
    volatility ideally associated with a scenario based underlying firm debt. We
    show how to calibrate this model using a chosen number of reference Credit
    Default Swap (CDS) market quotes.

  181. Exotic derivatives in a dense class of stochastic volatility models with jumps.

    Authors: Aleksandar Mijatović, Martijn Pistorius
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    In equity and foreign exchange markets the risk-neutral dynamics of the
    underlying asset are commonly represented by a stochastic volatility model with
    jumps. In this paper we consider a dense subclass of such models and develop
    analytically tractable formulae for the prices of a range of first-generation
    exotic derivatives. We provide closed form formulae for the Fourier transforms
    of vanilla and forward starting options as well as the formula for the slope of
    the implied volatility smile for large strikes. A simple explicit approximation
    formula for the variance swap price is given.

  182. Early exercise boundary for American type of floating strike Asian option and its numerical approximation.

    Authors: Daniel Sevcovic, Tomas Bokes
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    In this paper we generalize and analyze the model for pricing American-style
    Asian options due to (Hansen and Jorgensen 2000) by including a continuous
    dividend rate $q$ and a general method of averaging of the floating strike. We
    focus on the qualitative and quantitative analysis of the early exercise
    boundary. The first order Taylor series expansion of the early exercise
    boundary close to expiry is constructed. We furthermore propose an efficient
    numerical algorithm for determining the early exercise boundary position based
    on the front fixing method.

  183. Asymptotic behavior of prices of path dependent options.

    Authors: Yuji Hishida, Kenji Yasutomi
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    In this paper, we give a numerical method for pricing long maturity, path
    dependent options by using the Markov property for each underlying asset. This
    enables us to approximate a path dependent option by using some kinds of plain
    vanillas. We give some examples whose underlying assets behave as some popular
    Levy processes. Moreover, we give some payoffs and functions used to
    approximate them.

  184. Finitely additive probabilities and the Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing.

    Authors: Constantinos Kardaras
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    This work aims at a deeper understanding of the mathematical implications of
    the economically-sound condition of absence of arbitrages of the first kind in
    a financial market. In the spirit of the Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing
    (FTAP), it is shown here that absence of arbitrages of the first kind in the
    market is equivalent to the existence of a finitely additive probability,
    weakly equivalent to the original and only locally countably additive, under
    which the discounted wealth processes become "local martingales".

  185. Bilateral counterparty risk valuation for interest-rate products: impact of volatilities and correlations.

    Authors: Damiano Brigo, Andrea Pallavicini, Vasileios Papatheodorou
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    The purpose of this paper is introducing rigorous methods and formulas for
    bilateral counterparty risk credit valuation adjustments (CVA's) on
    interest-rate portfolios. In doing so, we summarize the general arbitrage-free
    valuation framework for counterparty risk adjustments in presence of bilateral
    default risk, as developed more in detail in Brigo and Capponi (2008),
    including the default of the investor.

  186. Coupling Index and Stocks.

    Authors: Benjamin Jourdain, Mohamed Sbai
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    In this paper, we are interested in continuous time models in which the index
    level induces some feedback on the dynamics of its composing stocks. More
    precisely, we propose a model in which the log-returns of each stock may be
    decomposed into a systemic part proportional to the log-returns of the index
    plus an idiosyncratic part. We show that, when the number of stocks in the
    index is large, this model may be approximated by a local volatility model for
    the index and a stochastic volatility model for each stock with volatility
    driven by the index.

  187. Asymptotic formulae for implied volatility in the Heston model.

    Authors: Aleksandar Mijatovic, Martin Forde, Antoine Jacquier
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    In this paper we prove an approximate formula expressed in terms of
    elementary functions for the implied volatility in the Heston model. The
    formula consists of the constant and first order terms in the large maturity
    expansion of the implied volatility function. The proof is based on saddlepoint
    methods and classical properties of holomorphic functions.

  188. The continuous behavior of the numeraire portfolio under small changes in information structure, probabilistic views and investment constraints.

    Authors: Constantinos Kardaras
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    The numeraire portfolio in a financial market is the unique positive wealth
    process that makes all other nonnegative wealth processes, when deflated by it,
    supermartingales. The numeraire portfolio depends on market characteristics,
    which include: (a) the information flow available to acting agents, given by a
    filtration; (b) the statistical evolution of the asset prices and, more
    generally, the states of nature, given by a probability measure; and (c)
    possible restrictions that acting agents might be facing on available
    investment strategies, modeled by a constraints set.

  189. Adaptive-Wave Alternative for the Black-Scholes Option Pricing Model.

    Authors: Vladimir G. Ivancevic
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    A nonlinear wave alternative for the standard Black-Scholes option-pricing
    model is presented. The adaptive-wave model, representing 'controlled Brownian
    behavior' of financial markets, is formally defined by adaptive nonlinear
    Schr\"odinger (NLS) equations, defining the option-pricing wave function in
    terms of the stock price and time. The model includes two parameters:
    volatility (playing the role of dispersion frequency coefficient), which can be
    either fixed or stochastic, and adaptive market potential that depends on the
    interest rate.

  190. Credit Risk Premia and Quadratic Bsdes with a Single Jump.

    Authors: Stefan Ankirchner, Christophette Blanchet-Scalliet, Anne Eyraud-Loisel
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    This paper is concerned with the determination of credit risk premia of
    defaultable contingent claims by means of indifference valuation principles.
    Assuming exponential utility preferences we derive representations of
    indifference premia of credit risk in terms of solutions of Backward Stochastic
    Differential Equations (BSDE). The class of BSDEs needed for that
    representation allows for quadratic growth generators and jumps at random
    times.

  191. Pricing Fixed-Income Securities in an Information-Based Framework.

    Authors: Lane P. Hughston, Andrea Macrina
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    In this paper we introduce a class of information-based models for the
    pricing of fixed-income securities. We consider a set of continuous- time
    information processes that describe the flow of information about market
    factors in a monetary economy. The nominal pricing kernel is at any given time
    assumed to be given by a function of the values of information processes at
    that time.

  192. A Dynamic Model for Credit Index Derivatives.

    Authors: Louis Paulot
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We present a new model for credit index derivatives, in the top-down
    approach. This model has a dynamic loss intensity process with volatility and
    jumps and can include counterparty risk. It handles CDS, CDO tranches,
    Nth-to-default and index swaptions. Using properties of affine models, we
    derive closed formulas for the pricing of index CDS, CDO tranches and
    Nth-to-default. For index swaptions, we give an exact pricing and an
    approximate faster method. We finally show calibration results on 2009 market
    data.

  193. Market Implied Probability Distributions and Bayesian Skew Estimation.

    Authors: Ulrich Kirchner
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We review and illustrate how the volatility smile translates into a
    probability distribution, the market-implied probability distribution
    representing believes priced in. The effects of changes in the smile are
    examined. Special attention is given to the effects of slope, which might
    appear at first counter-intuitive.

  194. Discrete-Time Interest Rate Modelling.

    Authors: Lane P. Hughston, Andrea Macrina
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    This paper presents an axiomatic scheme for interest rate models in discrete
    time. We take a pricing kernel approach, which builds in the arbitrage-free
    property and provides a link to equilibrium economics. We require that the
    pricing kernel be consistent with a pair of axioms, one giving the
    inter-temporal relations for dividend-paying assets, and the other ensuring the
    existence of a money-market asset. We show that the existence of a
    positive-return asset implies the existence of a previsible money-market
    account.

  195. A remark on Gatheral's 'most-likely path approximation' of implied volatility.

    Authors: Josef Teichmann, Martin Keller-Ressel
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We give a rigorous proof of the representation of implied volatility as a
    time-average of weighted expectations of local or stochastic volatility. With
    this proof we fix the problem of a circular definition in the original
    derivation of Gatheral, who introduced this implied volatility representation
    in his book 'The Volatility Surface'.

  196. Strict Local Martingale Deflators and Pricing American Call-Type Options.

    Authors: Erhan Bayraktar, Hao Xing, Constantinos Kardaras
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We solve the problem of pricing and optimal exercise of American call-type
    options in markets which do not necessarily admit an equivalent local
    martingale measure. This resolves an open question proposed by Fernholz and
    Karatzas [Stochastic Portfolio Theory: A Survey, Handbook of Numerical
    Analysis, 15:89-168, 2009].

  197. On the semimartingale property of discounted asset-price processes.

    Authors: Eckhard Platen, Constantinos Kardaras
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    A financial market model where agents trade using realistic combinations of
    buy-and-hold strategies is considered. Minimal assumptions are made on the
    discounted asset-price process - in particular, the semimartingale property is
    not assumed. Via a natural market viability assumption, namely, absence of
    arbitrages of the first kind, we establish that discounted asset-prices have to
    be semimartingales.

  198. Solvable Nonlinear Volatility Diffusion Models with Affine Drift.

    Authors: Roman N. Makarov, Giuseppe Campolieti
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We present a method for constructing new families of solvable one-dimensional
    diffusions with linear drift and nonlinear diffusion coefficient functions,
    whose transition densities are obtainable in analytically closed-form. Our
    approach is based on the so-called diffusion canonical transformation method
    that allows us to uncover new multiparameter diffusions that are mapped onto
    various simpler underlying diffusions. We give a simple rigorous boundary
    classification and characterization of the newly constructed processes with
    respect to the martingale property.

  199. Optimal partial hedging in a discrete-time market as a knapsack problem.

    Authors: Peter G. Lindberg
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We present a new approach for studying the problem of optimal hedging of a
    European option in a finite and complete discrete-time market model. We
    consider partial hedging strategies that maximize the success probability or
    minimize the expected shortfall under a cost constraint and show that these
    problems can be treated as so called knapsack problems, which are a widely
    researched subject in linear programming. This observation gives us better
    understanding of the problem of optimal hedging in discrete time.

  200. A Heat Kernel Approach to Interest Rate Models.

    Authors: Josef Teichmann, Jiro Akahori, Yuji Hishida, Takahiro Tsuchiya
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We construct default-free interest rate models in the spirit of the
    well-known Markov funcional models: our focus is analytic tractability of the
    models and generality of the approach. We work in the setting of state price
    densities and construct models by means of the so called propagation property.
    The propagation property can be found implicitly in all of the popular state
    price density approaches, in particular heat kernels share the propagation
    property (wherefrom we deduced the name of the approach). As a related matter,
    an interesting property of heat kernels is presented, too.

  201. Old and new approaches to LIBOR modeling.

    Authors: Antonis Papapantoleon
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    In this article, we review the construction and properties of some popular
    approaches to modeling LIBOR rates. We discuss the following frameworks:
    classical LIBOR market models, forward price models and Markov-functional
    models. We close with the recently developed affine LIBOR models.

  202. Hedging in an equilibrium-based model for a large investor.

    Authors: David German
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We study a financial model with a non-trivial price impact effect. In this
    model we consider the interaction of a large investor trading in an illiquid
    security, and a market maker who is quoting prices for this security. We assume
    that the market maker quotes the prices such that by taking the other side of
    the investor's demand, the market maker will arrive at maturity with maximal
    expected wealth. Within this model we concentrate on the issue of contingent
    claims' hedging.

  203. Implied Multi-Factor Model for Bespoke CDO Tranches and other Portfolio Credit Derivatives.

    Authors: Igor Halperin
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    This paper introduces a new semi-parametric approach to the pricing and risk
    management of bespoke CDO tranches, with a particular attention to bespokes
    that need to be mapped onto more than one reference portfolio. The only user
    input in our framework is a multi-factor model (a "prior" model hereafter) for
    index portfolios, such as CDX.NA.IG or iTraxx Europe, that are chosen as
    benchmark securities for the pricing of a given bespoke CDO. Parameters of the
    prior model are fixed, and not tuned to match prices of benchmark index
    tranches.

  204. Closed form asymptotics for local volatility models.

    Authors: Nick Costanzino, Victor Nistor, Wen Cheng, John Liechty, Anna Mazzucato
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We obtain new closed-form pricing formulas for contingent claims when the
    asset follows a Dupire-type local volatility model. To obtain the formulas we
    use the Dyson-Taylor commutator method re- cently developed in [7, 8, 10] for
    short time asymptotic expansions of heat kernels, and obtain a family of
    general explicit closed form approx- imate solutions for both the pricing
    kernel and derivative price. We also perform analytic as well as a numerical
    error analysis, and compare our results to other known methods.

  205. Geometric Arbitrage Theory and Market Dynamics.

    Authors: Simone Farinelli
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We have embedded the classical theory of stochastic finance into a
    differential geometric framework called Geometric Arbitrage Theory and show
    that it is possible to:

    - Write arbitrage as curvature of a principal fibre bundle.

    - Parameterize arbitrage strategies by its holonomy. - Extend the Fundamental
    Theorem of Asset Pricing by a differential homotopic characterization for both
    complete and not complete arbitrage free markets.

  206. Analysis of continuous strict local martingales via h-transforms.

    Authors: Soumik Pal, Philip Protter
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We study strict local martingales via h-transforms, a method which first
    appeared in Delbaen-Schachermayer. We show that strict local martingales arise
    whenever there is a consistent family of change of measures where the two
    measures are not equivalent to one another. Several old and new strict local
    martingales are identified. We treat examples of diffusions with various
    boundary behavior, size-bias sampling of diffusion paths, and non-colliding
    diffusions. A multidimensional generalization to conformal strict local
    martingales is achieved through Kelvin transform.

  207. Joint Modelling of Gas and Electricity spot prices.

    Authors: Noufel Frikha, Vincent Lemaire
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    The recent liberalization of the electricity and gas markets has resulted in
    the growth of energy exchanges and modelling problems. In this paper, we
    modelize jointly gas and electricity spot prices using a mean-reverting model
    which fits the correlations structures for the two commodities.

  208. Joint Modelling of Gas and Electricity spot prices.

    Authors: Noufel Frikha, Vincent Lemaire
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    The recent liberalization of the electricity and gas markets has resulted in
    the growth of energy exchanges and modelling problems. In this paper, we
    modelize jointly gas and electricity spot prices using a mean-reverting model
    which fits the correlations structures for the two commodities.

  209. A Steady State Solution to a Mortgage Pricing Problem.

    Authors: Dejun Xie
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    This paper considers a mortgage contract where the borrower pays a fixed
    mortgage rate and has the choice of making prepayment. Assume the market
    interest follows the CIR model, a free boundary problem is formulated. Here we
    focus on the infinite horizon problem. Using variational method, we obtain an
    analytical solution to the problem, where the free boundary is implicitly given
    by a transcendental algebraic equation.

  210. A Steady State Solution to a Mortgage Pricing Problem.

    Authors: Dejun Xie
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    This paper considers a mortgage contract where the borrower pays a fixed
    mortgage rate and has the choice of making prepayment. Assume the market
    interest follows the CIR model, a free boundary problem is formulated. Here we
    focus on the infinite horizon problem. Using variational method, we obtain an
    analytical solution to the problem, where the free boundary is implicitly given
    by a transcendental algebraic equation.

  211. Probabilistic representations of the density function of the asset price and of vanilla options in linear stochastic volatility models.

    Authors: Jacek Jakubowski, Maciej Wisniewolski
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    We derive probabilistic representations for the probability density function
    of the arbitrage price of a financial asset and the price of European call and
    put options in a linear stochastic volatility model with correlated Brownian
    noises. In such models the asset price satisfies a linear SDE with coefficient
    of linearity being the volatility process. Examples of such models are
    considered, including a log-normal stochastic volatility model. In all examples
    a closed formula for the density function is given.

  212. Analysis of Fourier transform valuation formulas and applications.

    Authors: Ernst Eberlein, Antonis Papapantoleon, Kathrin Glau
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    The aim of this article is to provide a systematic analysis of the conditions
    such that Fourier transform valuation formulas are valid in a general
    framework; i.e. when the option has an arbitrary payoff function and depends on
    the path of the asset price process. An interplay between the conditions on the
    payoff function and the process arises naturally. We also extend these results
    to the multi-dimensional case, and discuss the calculation of Greeks by Fourier
    transform methods.

  213. Introduction into "Local Correlation Modelling".

    Authors: Alex Langnau
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    In this paper we provide evidence that financial option markets for equity
    indices give rise to non-trivial dependency structures between its
    constituents. Thus, if the individual constituent distributions of an equity
    index are inferred from the single-stock option markets and combined via a
    Gaussian copula, for example, one fails to explain the steepness of the
    observed volatility skew of the index. Intuitively, index option prices are
    encoding higher correlations in cases where the option is particularly
    sensitive to stress scenarios of the market.

  214. Dynamic risk indifference pricing in incomplete markets.

    Authors: Xavier De Scheemaekere
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    This paper studies a contingent claim pricing problem in incomplete markets,
    based on the risk indifference principle. The seller's dynamic risk
    indifference price is the payment that makes the risk involved for the seller
    of a contract equal, at any time, to the risk involved if the contract is not
    sold and no payment is received. An explicit formula for the dynamic risk
    indifference price is given as the solution of a one-dimensional linear BSDE
    with stochastic Lipschitz coefficient.

  215. On the Stickiness Property.

    Authors: Erhan Bayraktar, Hasanjan Sayit
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    In [2] the notion of stickiness for stochastic processes was introduced. It
    was also shown that stickiness implies absense of arbitrage in a market with
    proportional transaction costs. In this paper, we investigate the notion of
    stickiness further. In particular, we give examples of processes that are not
    semimartingales but are sticky.

  216. Fractional term structure models: No-arbitrage and consistency.

    Authors: Alberto Ohashi
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    In this work we introduce Heath-Jarrow-Morton (HJM) interest rate models
    driven by fractional Brownian motions. By using support arguments we prove that
    the resulting model is arbitrage free under proportional transaction costs in
    the same spirit of Guasoni [Math. Finance 16 (2006) 569-582]. In particular, we
    obtain a drift condition which is similar in nature to the classical HJM
    no-arbitrage drift restriction. The second part of this paper deals with
    consistency problems related to the fractional HJM dynamics.

  217. Correlation breakdown, copula credit default models and arbitrage.

    Authors: Rodanthy Tzani, Alexios P. Polychronakos
    Subjects: Pricing of Securities
    Abstract

    The recent "correlation breakdown" in the modeling of credit default swaps,
    in which model correlations had to exceed 100% in order to reproduce market
    prices of supersenior tranches, is analyzed and argued to be a fundamental
    market inconsistency rather than an inadequacy of the specific model. As a
    consequence, markets under such conditions are exposed to the possibility of
    arbitrage. The general construction of arbitrage portfolios under specific
    conditions is presented.

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