Portfolio Management

  1. Optimal Portfolio Choice for a Behavioural Investor in Continuous-Time Markets.

    Authors: Miklos Rasonyi, Andrea Rodrigues
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    The aim of this work consists in the study of the optimal investment strategy
    for a behavioural investor, whose preference towards risk is described by both
    a probability distortion and an S-shaped utility function. Within a
    continuous-time financial market framework and assuming that asset prices are
    modelled by semimartingales, we derive sufficient and necessary conditions for
    the well-posedness of the optimisation problem in the case of piecewise-power
    probability distortion and utility functions.

  2. A Goal Programming Model for Optimal Portfolio Diversification.

    Authors: Marco Maggis, Davide La Torre
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    We present a goal programming model for risk minimization of a financial
    portfolio managed by an agent subject to different possible criteria. We extend
    the classical risk minimization model with scalar risk measures to general case
    of set-valued risk measure. The problem we obtain is a set-valued optimization
    program and we propose a goal programming-based approach to obtain a solution
    which represents the best compromise between goals and the achievement levels.
    Numerical examples are provided to illustrate how the method works in practical
    situations.

  3. Building portfolios of stocks in the S\~ao Paulo Stock Exchange using Random Matrix Theory.

    Authors: Leonidas Sandoval Junior, Adriana Bruscato, Maria Kelly Venezuela
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    Using Random Matrix Theory, we build a covariance matrix between stocks of
    the BM&F-Bovespa (Bolsa de Valores, Mercadorias e Futuros de S\~ao Paulo) which
    is cleaned of some of the noise due to the complex interactions between the
    many stocks and the finiteness of available data, and use a regression model in
    order to remove the market effect due to the common movement of all stocks.
    These two procedures are then used in order to build portfolios of stocks based
    on Markovitz's theory, trying to build better predictions of future risk based
    on past data.

  4. Saddlepoint methods in portfolio theory.

    Authors: Richard J Martin
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    We discuss the use of saddlepoint methods in the analysis of portfolios, with
    particular reference to credit portfolios. The objective is to proceed from a
    model of the loss distribution, given through probabilities, correlations and
    the like, to an analytical approximation of the distribution. Once this is done
    we show how to derive the so-called risk contributions which are the
    derivatives of risk measures, such as a given quantile (VaR) or expected
    shortfall, to the allocations in the underlying assets.

  5. Utility Maximization with Addictive Consumption Habit Formation in Incomplete Semimartingale Markets.

    Authors: Xiang Yu
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    This paper studies the problem of continuous time utility maximization of
    consumption together with addictive habit formation in general incomplete
    semimartingale financial markets. By introducing the auxiliary state processes
    and the modified dual space, we embed our original problem into an auxiliary
    time separable utility maximization problem with the shadow random endowment.
    We establish existence and uniqueness of the optimal solution using convex
    duality approach on the product space by defining the primal value function
    both on the initial wealth and initial habit.

  6. Optimal Portfolio-Consumption with Habit Formation and Partial Observations: The Fully Explicit Solutions Approach.

    Authors: Xiang Yu
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    We consider a model of optimal investment and consumption with both
    habit-formation and partial observations in incomplete Ito processes markets.
    The individual investor develops addictive consumption habits gradually while
    he can only observe the market stock prices but not the instantaneous rates of
    return, which follow Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes. Applying the Kalman-Bucy
    filtering theorem and Dynamic Programming arguments, we solve the associated
    HJB equation fully explicitly for this path dependent stochastic control
    problem in the case of power utility preferences.

  7. Asymptotic Analysis for Optimal Investment in Finite Time with Transaction Costs.

    Authors: Maxim Bichuch
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    We consider an agent who invests in a stock and a money market account with
    the goal of maximizing the utility of his investment at the final time T in the
    presence of a proportional transaction cost. The utility function considered is
    power utility. We provide a heuristic and a rigorous derivation of the
    asymptotic expansion of the value function in powers of transaction cost
    parameter. We also obtain a "nearly optimal" strategy, whose utility
    asymptotically matches the leading terms in the value function.

  8. On the game interpretation of a shadow price process in utility optimization problems under transaction costs.

    Authors: Dmitry B. Rokhlin
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    To any utility maximization problem under transaction costs one can assign a
    frictionless model with a price process $S^*$, lying in the bid/ask price
    interlval $[\underline S, \bar{S}]$. Such process $S^*$ is called a
    \emph{shadow price} if it provides the same optimal utility value as in the
    original model with bid-ask spread.

  9. The Nature of Alpha.

    Authors: Arthur M. Berd
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    We suggest an empirical model of investment strategy returns which elucidates
    the importance of non-Gaussian features, such as time-varying volatility,
    asymmetry and fat tails, in explaining the level of expected returns.
    Estimating the model on the (former) Lehman Brothers Hedge Fund Index data, we
    demonstrate that the volatility compensation is a significant component of the
    expected returns for most strategy styles, suggesting that many of these
    strategies should be thought of as being `short vol'.

  10. On the Existence of Shadow Prices.

    Authors: Jan Kallsen, Johannes Muhle-Karbe, Giuseppe Benedetti, Luciano Campi
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    For utility maximization problems under proportional transaction costs, it
    has been observed that the original market with transaction costs can sometimes
    be replaced by a frictionless "shadow market" that yields the same optimal
    strategy and utility. However, the question of whether or not this indeed holds
    in generality has remained elusive so far. In this paper we present a
    counterexample which shows that shadow prices may fail to exist.

  11. Multicurrency advisor based on the NSW model. Detailed description and perspectives.

    Authors: A.M. Avdeenko
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    Flexible algorithm of multicurrency trade on Forex market has been built on
    the grounds of non-linear stochastic wavelets (NSW) model. Probability of the
    loss-free trade has been evaluated. Results of the algorithm's real-time
    testing and issues of the algorithm's development are discussed.

  12. A simplified Capital Asset Pricing Model.

    Authors: Vladimir Vovk
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    We consider a Black-Scholes market in which a number of stocks and an index
    are traded. The simplified Capital Asset Pricing Model is the conjunction of
    the usual Capital Asset Pricing Model, or CAPM, and the statement that the
    appreciation rate of the index is equal to its squared volatility plus the
    interest rate. (The mathematical statement of the conjunction is simpler than
    that of the usual CAPM.) Our main result is that either we can outperform the
    index or the simplified CAPM holds.

  13. Estimation error reduction in portfolio optimization with Conditional Value-at-Risk.

    Authors: Noureddine El Karoui, Andrew E. B. Lim, Gah-Yi Vahn
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    We investigate two methods for reducing estimation error in portfolio
    optimization with Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR). The first method is
    nonparametric: penalize portfolios with large variances in mean and CVaR
    estimations. The penalized problem is solvable by a quadratically-constrained
    quadratic program, and can be interpreted as a chance-constrained program. We
    show the original and penalized solutions follow the Central Limit Theorem with
    computable covariance by extending M-estimation results from statistics.

  14. An analytical performance comparison of exchanged traded funds with index funds: 2002-2010.

    Authors: Mohammad Sharifzadeh, Simin Hojat
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) have been gaining increasing popularity in the
    investment community as is evidenced by the high growth both in the number of
    ETFs and their net assets since 2000. As ETFs are in nature similar to index
    mutual funds, in this paper we examined if this growing demand for ETFs can be
    explained through their outperformance as compared to index mutual funds.

  15. Portfolio optimisation under non-linear drawdown constraints in a semimartingale financial model.

    Authors: Jan Obloj, Vladmir Cherny
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    A drawdown constraint forces the current wealth to remain above a given
    function of its maximum to date. We consider the portfolio optimisation problem
    of maximising the long-term growth rate of the expected utility of wealth
    subject to a drawdown constraint, as in the original setup of Grossman and Zhou
    (1993). We work in an abstract semimartingale financial market model with a
    general class of utility functions and drawdown constraints. We solve the
    problem by showing that it is in fact equivalent to an unconstrained problem
    but for a modified utility function.

  16. Performance analysis and optimal selection of large mean-variance portfolios under estimation risk.

    Authors: Xavier Mestre, Daniel P. Palomar, Francisco Rubio
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    We study the consistency of sample mean-variance portfolios of arbitrarily
    high dimension that are based on Bayesian or shrinkage estimation of the input
    parameters as well as weighted sampling. In an asymptotic setting where the
    number of assets remains comparable in magnitude to the sample size, we provide
    a characterization of the estimation risk by providing deterministic
    equivalents of the portfolio out-of-sample performance in terms of the
    underlying investment scenario.

  17. Suitability of using technical indicators as potential strategies within intelligent trading systems.

    Authors: Evan Hurwitz, Tshilidzi Marwala
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    The potential of machine learning to automate and control nonlinear, complex
    systems is well established. These same techniques have always presented
    potential for use in the investment arena, specifically for the managing of
    equity portfolios. In this paper, the opportunity for such exploitation is
    investigated through analysis of potential simple trading strategies that can
    then be meshed together for the machine learning system to switch between. It
    is the eligibility of these strategies that is being investigated in this
    paper, rather than application.

  18. Optimal investment with intermediate consumption and random endowment.

    Authors: Oleksii Mostovyi
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    In this paper we study several classical problems of optimal investment with
    intermediate consumption and random endowment in incomplete markets. We
    establish the key assertions of the utility maximization theory assuming that
    both primal and dual value functions are finite in the interiors of their
    domains as well as that random endowment at maturity can be dominated by the
    terminal value of a self-financing wealth process. In order to facilitate
    verification of these conditions, we present alternative, but equivalent
    conditions, under which the conclusions of the theory hold.

  19. Transaction Costs, Trading Volume, and the Liquidity Premium.

    Authors: Johannes Muhle-Karbe, Walter Schachermayer, Stefan Gerhold, Paolo Guasoni
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    In a market with one safe and one risky asset, an investor with a long
    horizon, constant investment opportunities, and constant relative risk aversion
    trades with small proportional transaction costs. We derive explicit formulas
    for the optimal investment policy, its implied welfare, liquidity premium, and
    trading volume. At the first order, the liquidity premium equals the spread,
    times share turnover, times a universal constant. Results are robust to
    consumption and finite horizons.

  20. Long Horizons, High Risk Aversion, and Endogeneous Spreads.

    Authors: Johannes Muhle-Karbe, Paolo Guasoni
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    For an investor with constant absolute risk aversion and a long horizon, who
    trades in a market with constant investment opportunities and small
    proportional transaction costs, we obtain explicitly the optimal investment
    policy, its implied welfare, liquidity premium, and trading volume. We identify
    these quantities as the limits of their isoelastic counterparts for high levels
    of risk aversion. The results are robust with respect to finite horizons, and
    extend to multiple uncorrelated risky assets.

  21. On Admissible Strategies in Robust Utility Maximization.

    Authors: Keita Owari
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    The existence of optimal strategy in robust utility maximization is addressed
    when the utility function is finite on the entire real line. A delicate problem
    in this case is to find a "good definition" of admissible strategies, so that
    an optimizer is obtained.

  22. Generalized Hypothesis Testing and Maximizing the Success Probability in Financial Markets.

    Authors: Jie Yang, Qingshuo Song, Tim Leung
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    We study the generalized composite pure and randomized hypothesis testing
    problems. In addition to characterizing the corresponding optimal tests, we
    examine the conditions under which these two hypothesis testing problems are
    equivalent, and provide counterexamples when they are not. This analysis is
    useful for portfolio optimization problems that maximize some success
    probability given a fixed initial capital. The corresponding dual is related to
    a pure hypothesis testing problem which may or may not coincide with the
    randomized hypothesis testing problem.

  23. The Capital Asset Pricing Model as a corollary of the Black-Scholes model.

    Authors: Vladimir Vovk
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    We consider a financial market in which two securities are traded: a stock
    and an index. Their prices are assumed to satisfy the Black-Scholes model.
    Besides assuming that the index is a tradable security, we also assume that it
    is efficient, in the following sense: we do not expect a prespecified
    self-financing trading strategy whose wealth is almost surely nonnegative at
    all times to outperform the index greatly.

  24. Using MOEAs To Outperform Stock Benchmarks In The Presence of Typical Investment Constraints.

    Authors: Andrew Clark, Jeff Kenyon
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    Portfolio managers are often constrained by turnover limits, minimum and
    maximum stock positions, cardinality, a target market capitalization and
    sometimes the need to hew to a style (growth or value). In addition, many
    portfolio managers choose stocks based upon fundamental data, e.g.
    price-to-earnings and dividend yield in an effort to maximize return. All of
    these are typical real-world constraints a portfolio manager faces.

  25. Directional Variance Adjustment: a novel covariance estimator for high dimensional portfolio optimization.

    Authors: Daniel Bartz, Kerr Hatrick, Christian W. Hesse, Klaus-Robert Müller, Steven Lemm
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    Robust and reliable covariance estimation plays a decisive role in financial
    applications. An important class of estimators is based on Factor models. Here,
    we show by extensive Monte Carlo simulations that covariance matrices derived
    from the statistical Factor Analysis model exhibit a systematic error, which is
    similar to the well-known systematic error of the spectrum of the sample
    covariance matrix. Moreover, we introduce the Directional Variance Adjustment
    (DVA) algorithm, which diminishes the systematic error.

  26. Portfolio Optimization under Convex Incentive Schemes.

    Authors: Stephan Sturm, Maxim Bichuch
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    We consider the utility maximization problem of terminal wealth from the
    point of view of a portfolio manager paid by an incentive scheme given as a
    convex function $g$ of the terminal wealth. The manager's own utility function
    $U$ is assumed to be smooth and strictly concave, however the resulting utility
    function $U \circ g$ fails to be concave. As a consequence, this problem does
    not fit into the classical portfolio optimization theory.

  27. Diversification Return, Portfolio Rebalancing, and the Commodity Return Puzzle.

    Authors: Scott Willenbrock
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    Diversification return is an incremental return earned by a rebalanced
    portfolio of assets. The diversification return of a rebalanced portfolio is
    often incorrectly ascribed to a reduction in variance. We argue that the
    underlying source of the diversification return is the rebalancing, which
    forces the investor to sell assets that have appreciated in relative value and
    buy assets that have declined in relative value, as measured by their weights
    in the portfolio.

  28. Portfolios and the market geometry.

    Authors: R. Vilela Mendes, Samuel Eleutério, Tanya Araújo
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    A geometric analysis of the time series of returns has been performed in the
    past and it implied that the most of the systematic information of the market
    is contained in a space of small dimension. Here we have explored subspaces of
    this space to find out the relative performance of portfolios formed from the
    companies that have the largest projections in each one of the subspaces. It
    was found that the best performance portfolios are associated to some of the
    small eigenvalue subspaces and not to the dominant directions in the distances
    matrix.

  29. Additive habits with power utility: Estimates, asymptotics and equilibrium.

    Authors: Roman Muraviev
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    We consider a power utility maximization problem with additive habits in a
    framework of discrete-time markets and random endowments. For certain classes
    of incomplete markets, we establish estimates for the optimal consumption
    stream in terms of the aggregate state price density, investigate the
    asymptotic behaviour of the propensity to consume (ratio of the consumption to
    the wealth), as the initial endowment tends to infinity, and show that the
    limit is the corresponding quantity in an artificial market.

  30. On the closure in the Emery topology of semimartingale wealth-process sets.

    Authors: Constantinos Kardaras
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    A wealth-process set is abstractly defined to consist of nonnegative cadlag
    processes containing a strictly positive semimartingale and satisfying an
    intuitive re-balancing property. Under the condition of absence of arbitrage of
    the first kind, it is established that all wealth processes are
    semimartingales, and that the closure of the wealth-process set in the Emery
    topology contains all "optimal" wealth processes.

  31. Necessary and sufficient conditions in the problem of optimal investment with intermediate consumption.

    Authors: Oleksii Mostovyi
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    We consider several problems of optimal investment with intermediate
    consumption in the framework of an incomplete semimartingale model of a
    financial market. Our goal is to find minimal conditions on the model and the
    utility stochastic field for the validity of several key assertions of the
    theory to hold true. We show that a necessary and sufficient condition on both
    the utility stochastic field and the model is that the value functions of the
    primal and dual problems are finite.

  32. Investment/consumption problem in illiquid markets with regimes switching.

    Authors: Huyên Pham, Paul Gassiat, Fausto Gozzi
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    We consider an illiquid financial market with different regimes modeled by a
    continuous-time finite-state Markov chain. The investor can trade a stock only
    at the discrete arrival times of a Cox process with intensity depending on the
    market regime. Moreover, the risky asset price is subject to liquidity shocks,
    which change its rate of return and volatility, and induce jumps on its
    dynamics. In this setting, we study the problem of an economic agent optimizing
    her expected utility from consumption under a non-bankruptcy constraint.

  33. Robust Maximization of Asymptotic Growth under Covariance Uncertainty.

    Authors: Erhan Bayraktar, Yu-Jui Huang
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    This paper resolves a question proposed in Kardaras and Robertson (2011): how
    to invest in a robust growth-optimal way in a market where precise knowledge of
    the covariance structure of the underlying process is unavailable. Among an
    appropriate class of admissible covariance structures, we characterize the
    optimal trading strategy in terms of a generalized version of a principal
    half-eigenvalue of a Pucci extremal operator and its associated eigenfunction.

  34. Stability of exponential utility maximization with respect to market perturbations.

    Authors: Erhan Bayraktar, Ross Kravitz
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    We investigate the continuity of expected exponential utility maximization
    with respect to perturbation of the Sharpe ratio of markets. By focusing only
    on continuity, we impose weaker regularity conditions than those found in the
    literature. Specifically, for markets of the form $S = M + \int \lambda d<M>$,
    we require a uniform bound on the norm of $\lambda \cdot M$ in a suitable $bmo$
    space.

  35. On optimal investment for a behavioural investor in multiperiod incomplete market models.

    Authors: Laurence Carassus, Miklos Rasonyi
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    We provide easily verifiable conditions for the well-posedness of the optimal
    investment problem for a behavioral investor in an incomplete discrete-time
    multiperiod financial market model, for the first time in the literature. Under
    suitable assumptions we also establish the existence of optimal strategies.

  36. Natural selection with habits and learning in heterogeneous economies.

    Authors: Roman Muraviev
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    We study natural selection in complete financial markets, populated by
    heterogeneous agents. We allow for a rich structure of heterogeneity:
    Individuals may differ in their beliefs concerning the economy, information and
    learning mechanism, risk aversion, impatience (time preference rate) and degree
    of habits. We develop new techniques for studying long run behavior of such
    economies, based on the Strassen's functional law of iterated logarithm. In
    particular, we explicitly determine an agent's survival index and show how the
    latter depends on the agent's characteristics.

  37. Equilibrium with exponential utility and non-negative consumption.

    Authors: Roman Muraviev, Mario V. Wuethrich
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    We study a multi-period Arrow-Debreu equilibrium in a heterogeneous economy
    populated by agents trading in a complete market. Each agent is represented by
    an exponential utility function, where additionally no negative level of
    consumption is permitted. We derive an explicit formula for the optimal
    consumption policies involving a put option depending on the state price
    density. We exploit this formula to prove the existence of an equilibrium and
    then provide a characterization of all possible equilibria, under the
    assumption of positive endowments.

  38. Additive habit formation: Consumption in incomplete markets with random endowments.

    Authors: Roman Muraviev
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    We provide a detailed characterization of the optimal consumption stream for
    the additive habit-forming utility maximization problem, in a framework of
    general discrete-time incomplete markets and random endowments. This
    characterization allows us to derive the monotonicity and concavity of the
    optimal consumption as a function of wealth, for several important classes of
    incomplete markets and preferences. These results yield a deeper understanding
    of the fine structure of the optimal consumption and provide a further
    theoretical support for the classical conjectures of Keynes (1936).

  39. CRRA Utility Maximization under Risk Constraints.

    Authors: Anthony R&#xe9;veillac, Santiago Moreno-Bromberg, Traian Pirvu
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    This paper studies the problem of optimal investment with CRRA (constant,
    relative risk aversion) preferences, subject to dynamic risk constraints on
    trading strategies. The market model considered is continuous in time and
    incomplete; furthermore, financial assets are modeled by It\^{o} processes. The
    dynamic risk constraints (time, state dependent) are generated by risk
    measures.

  40. Portfolio selection problems in practice: a comparison between linear and quadratic optimization models.

    Authors: Francesco Cesarone, Andrea Scozzari, Fabio Tardella
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    Several portfolio selection models take into account practical limitations on
    the number of assets to include and on their weights in the portfolio. We
    present here a study of the Limited Asset Markowitz (LAM), of the Limited Asset
    Mean Absolute Deviation (LAMAD) and of the Limited Asset Conditional
    Value-at-Risk (LACVaR) models, where the assets are limited with the
    introduction of quantity and cardinality constraints. We propose a completely
    new approach for solving the LAM model, based on reformulation as a Standard
    Quadratic Program and on some recent theoretical results.

  41. Adjusted Closing Prices.

    Authors: Vic Norton
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    Historical returns depend on historical closing prices and distributions. We
    describe how to compute adjusted closing prices from closing price/distribution
    data with an emphasis on spreadsheet implementation. Then the growth of a
    security from one date to another (1 + total return) is just the ratio of the
    corresponding adjusted closing prices.

  42. The structure of optimal portfolio strategies for continuous time markets.

    Authors: Nikolai Dokuchaev
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    The paper studies problem of continuous time optimal portfolio selection for
    a diffusion model of incomplete market. It is shown that, under some mild
    conditions, the suboptimal strategies for investors with different performance
    criterions can be constructed using a limited number of fixed processes (mutual
    funds), for a market with a larger number of available risky stocks. In other
    words, a relaxed version of Mutual Fund Theorem is obtained.

  43. An optimal life insurance policy in the investment-consumption problem in an incomplete market.

    Authors: Masahiko Egami, Hideki Iwaki
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    This paper considers an optimal life insurance for a householder subject to
    mortality risk. The household receives a wage income continuously, which is
    terminated by unexpected (premature) loss of earning power or (planned and
    intended) retirement, whichever happens first. In order to hedge the risk of
    losing income stream by householder's unpredictable event, the household enters
    a life insurance contract by paying a premium to an insurance company. The
    household may also invest their wealth into a financial market.

  44. Dynamic Portfolio Optimization with a Defaultable Security and Regime Switching.

    Authors: Agostino Capponi, Jose E. Figueroa-Lopez
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    We consider a portfolio optimization problem in a defaultable market with
    finitely-many economical regimes, where the investor can dynamically allocate
    her wealth among a defaultable bond, a stock, and a money market account. The
    market coefficients are assumed to depend on the market regime in place, which
    is modeled by a finite state continuous time Markov process. We rigorously
    deduce the dynamics of the defaultable bond price process in terms of a Markov
    modulated stochastic differential equation.

  45. Notional portfolios and normalized linear returns.

    Authors: Vic Norton
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    The vector of periodic, compound returns of a typical investment portfolio is
    almost never a convex combination of the return vectors of the securities in
    the portfolio. As a result the ex post version of Harry Markowitz's "standard
    mean-variance portfolio selection model" does not apply to compound return
    data. We propose using notional portfolios and normalized linear returns to
    remedy this problem.

  46. A Comparative Anatomy of REITs and Residential Real Estate Indexes: Returns, Risks and Distributional Characteristics.

    Authors: John Cotter, Richard Roll
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) are the only truly liquid assets
    related to real estate investments. We study the behavior of U.S. REITs over
    the past three decades and document their return characteristics. REITs have
    somewhat less market risk than equity; their betas against a broad market index
    average about .65. Decomposing their covariances into principal components
    reveals several strong factors. REIT characteristics differ to some extent from
    those of the S&P/Case-Shiller (SCS) residential real estate indexes. This is
    partly attributable to methods of index construction.

  47. Housing risk and return: Evidence from a housing asset-pricing model.

    Authors: John Cotter, Karl Case, Stuart Gabriel
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    This paper investigates the risk-return relationship in determination of
    housing asset pricing. In so doing, the paper evaluates behavioral hypotheses
    advanced by Case and Shiller (1988, 2002, 2009) in studies of boom and
    post-boom housing markets. The paper specifies and tests a multi-factor housing
    asset pricing model.

  48. Power Utility Maximization in Discrete-Time and Continuous-Time Exponential Levy Models.

    Authors: Johannes Temme
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    Consider power utility maximization of terminal wealth in a 1-dimensional
    continuous-time exponential Levy model with finite time horizon. We discretize
    the model by restricting portfolio adjustments to an equidistant discrete time
    grid. Under minimal assumptions we prove convergence of the optimal
    discrete-time strategies to the continuous-time counterpart. In addition, we
    provide and compare qualitative properties of the discrete-time and
    continuous-time optimizers.

  49. Optimal Investment and Premium Policies under Risk Shifting and Solvency Regulation.

    Authors: Damir Filipovi&#x107;, Robert Kremslehner, Alexander Muermann
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    Limited liability creates a conflict of interests between policyholders and
    shareholders of insurance companies. It provides shareholders with incentives
    to increase the risk of the insurer's assets and liabilities which, in turn,
    might reduce the value policyholders attach to and premiums they are willing to
    pay for insurance coverage. We characterize Pareto optimal investment and
    premium policies in this context and provide necessary and sufficient
    conditions for their existence and uniqueness.

  50. Hedging of Game Options With the Presence of Transaction Costs.

    Authors: Yan Dolinsky
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    We study the problem of super-replication for game options under proportional
    transaction costs. We consider a multidimensional model which is an extension
    of the usual Black-Scholes (BS) model, in the sense that the volatility is a
    progressively measurable function of the stock. For this case we show that the
    super-replication price is the cheapest cost of a trivial super-replication
    strategy. This result is an extension of previous papers (see [1], [2], [10]
    and [11]) in which only European options with Markovian structure were
    considered.

  51. Risk, VaR, CVaR and their associated Portfolio Optimizations when Asset Returns have a Multivariate Student T Distribution.

    Authors: William T. Shaw
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    We show how to reduce the problem of computing VaR and CVaR with Student T
    return distributions to evaluation of analytical functions of the moments. This
    allows an analysis of the risk properties of systems to be carefully attributed
    between choices of risk function (e.g. VaR vs CVaR); choice of return
    distribution (power law tail vs Gaussian) and choice of event frequency, for
    risk assessment. We exploit this to provide a simple method for portfolio
    optimization when the asset returns follow a standard multivariate T
    distribution.

  52. Jump-Diffusion Risk-Sensitive Asset Management II: Jump-Diffusion Factor Model.

    Authors: Mark Davis, Sebastien Lleo
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    In this article we extend earlier work on the jump-diffusion risk-sensitive
    asset management problem [SIAM J. Fin. Math. (2011) 22-54] by allowing jumps in
    both the factor process and the asset prices, as well as stochastic volatility
    and investment constraints. In this case, the HJB equation is a partial
    integro-differential equation (PIDE). By combining viscosity solutions with a
    change of notation, a policy improvement argument and classical results on
    parabolic PDEs we prove that the HJB PIDE admits a unique smooth solution.

  53. Measuring Portfolio Diversification.

    Authors: Ulrich Kirchner, Caroline Zunckel
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    In the market place, diversification reduces risk and provides protection
    against extreme events by ensuring that one is not overly exposed to individual
    occurrences. We argue that diversification is best measured by characteristics
    of the combined portfolio of assets and introduce a measure based on the
    information entropy of the probability distribution for the final portfolio
    asset value. For Gaussian assets the measure is a logarithmic function of the
    variance and combining independent Gaussian assets of equal variance adds an
    amount to the diversification.

  54. Optimal Life Insurance Purchase, Consumption and Investment on a financial market with multi-dimensional diffusive terms.

    Authors: I. Duarte, D. Pinheiro, A.A. Pinto, S.R. Pliska
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    We introduce an extension to Merton's famous continuous time model of optimal
    consumption and investment, in the spirit of previous works by Pliska and Ye,
    to allow for a wage earner to have a random lifetime and to use a portion of
    the income to purchase life insurance in order to provide for his estate, while
    investing his savings in a financial market comprised of one risk-free security
    and an arbitrary number of risky securities driven by multi-dimensional
    Brownian motion.

  55. Optimal consumption and investment for markets with randoms coefficients.

    Authors: Serguei Pergamenchtchikov, Berdjane Belkacem
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    We consider an optimal consumption - investment problem for financial markets
    of Black-Scholes's type with the random coefficients. The existence and
    uniqueness theorem for the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation is shown. We
    construct an iterative sequence of functions converging to the solution of this
    equation. An optimal convergence rate for this sequence is found and sharp
    computable upper bounds for the approximation accuracy of the optimal
    consumption - investment strategies are obtained. It turns out that the optimal
    convergence rate in this case is super geometrical, i.e.

  56. On utility maximization under convex portfolio constraints.

    Authors: Gordan Zitkovic, Kasper Larsen
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    We consider a utility-maximization problem in a general semimartingale
    financial market, subject to constraints on the number of shares held in each
    risky asset. These constraints are modeled by predictable convex-set-valued
    processes whose values do not necessarily contain the origin, i.e., no risky
    investment at all may be inadmissible. Such a setup subsumes the classical
    constrained utility-maximization problem, as well as the problem where illiquid
    assets or a random endowment are present.

  57. Utility theory front to back - inferring utility from agents' choices.

    Authors: Jan Obloj, A.M.G. Cox, David Hobson
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    We pursue an inverse approach to utility theory and consumption & investment
    problems. Instead of specifying an agent's utility function and deriving her
    actions, we assume we observe her actions (i.e. her consumption and investment
    strategies) and ask if it is possible to derive a utility function for which
    the observed behaviour is optimal. We work in continuous time both in a
    deterministic and stochastic setting. In a deterministic setup, we find that
    there are infinitely many utility functions generating a given consumption
    pattern.

  58. Abstract, Classic, and Explicit Turnpikes.

    Authors: Hao Xing, Constantinos Kardaras, Scott Robertson, Paolo Guasoni
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    Portfolio turnpikes state that, as the investment horizon increases, optimal
    portfolios for generic utilities converge to those of isoelastic utilities.
    This paper proves three kinds of turnpikes. The abstract turnpike, valid in a
    general semimartingale setting, states that final payoffs and portfolios
    converge under their myopic probabilities.

  59. Fully Flexible Views: Theory and Practice.

    Authors: Attilio Meucci
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    We propose a unified methodology to input non-linear views from any number of
    users in fully general non-normal markets, and perform, among others,
    stress-testing, scenario analysis, and ranking allocation. We walk the reader
    through the theory and we detail an extremely efficient algorithm to easily
    implement this methodology under fully general assumptions. As it turns out, no
    repricing is ever necessary, hence the methodology can be readily applied to
    books with complex derivatives.

  60. Optimal mean-variance investment strategy under value-at-risk constraints.

    Authors: Jun Ye, Tiantian Li
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    This paper is devoted to study the effects arising from imposing a
    value-at-risk (VaR) constraint in mean-variance portfolio selection problem for
    an investor who receives a stochastic cash flow which he/she must then invest
    in a continuous-time financial market.

  61. Optimal investment policy and dividend payment strategy in an insurance company.

    Authors: Pablo Azcue, Nora Muler
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    We consider in this paper the optimal dividend problem for an insurance
    company whose uncontrolled reserve process evolves as a classical
    Cram\'{e}r--Lundberg process. The firm has the option of investing part of the
    surplus in a Black--Scholes financial market. The objective is to find a
    strategy consisting of both investment and dividend payment policies which
    maximizes the cumulative expected discounted dividend pay-outs until the time
    of bankruptcy.

  62. On the Stability of Utility Maximization Problems.

    Authors: Erhan Bayraktar, Ross Kravitz
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    In this paper we extend the stability results of [4]}. Our utility
    maximization problem is defined as an essential supremum of conditional
    expectations of the terminal values of wealth processes, conditioned on the
    filtration at the stopping time $\tau$. The stability result, in particular,
    implies that in the framework of [4], the optimal wealth at any given stopping
    time is stable with respect to changes in the Sharpe ratio and initial wealth.
    To establish our results, we extend the classical results of convex analysis to
    maps from $L^0$ to $L^0$.

  63. The dual optimizer for the growth-optimal portfolio under transaction costs.

    Authors: Johannes Muhle-Karbe, Walter Schachermayer, Stefan Gerhold
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    We consider the maximization of the long-term growth rate in the
    Black-Scholes model under proportional transaction costs as in Taksar, Klass
    and Assaf [Math. Oper. Res. 13, 1988]. Similarly as in Kallsen and Muhle-Karbe
    [Ann. Appl. Probab., 20, 2010] for optimal consumption over an infinite
    horizon, we tackle this problem by determining a shadow price, which is the
    solution of the dual problem. It can be calculated explicitly up to determining
    the root of a deterministic function.

  64. Stock loans in incomplete markets.

    Authors: Matheus R. Grasselli, Cesar G. Velez
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    A stock loan is a contract whereby a stockholder uses shares as collateral to
    borrow money from a bank or financial institution. In Xia and Zhou (2007), this
    contract is modeled as a perpetual American option with a time varying strike
    and analyzed in detail within a risk--neutral framework. In this paper, we
    extend the valuation of such loans to an incomplete market setting, which takes
    into account the natural trading restrictions faced by the client.

  65. A time before which insiders would not undertake risk.

    Authors: Constantinos Kardaras
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    In a continuous-path semimartingale market model, we perform an initial
    enlargement of the filtration by including the overall minimum of the numeraire
    portfolio. We establish that all discounted asset-price processes, when stopped
    at the time of the overall minimum of the numeraire portfolio, become local
    martingales under the enlarged filtration. This implies that risk-averse
    insider traders would refrain from investing in the risky assets before that
    time.

  66. Asymptotics and Duality for the Davis and Norman Problem.

    Authors: Johannes Muhle-Karbe, Walter Schachermayer, Stefan Gerhold
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    We revisit the problem of maximizing expected logarithmic utility from
    consumption over an infinite horizon in the Black-Scholes model with
    proportional transaction costs, as studied in the seminal paper of Davis and
    Norman [Math. Operation Research, 15, 1990]. Similarly to Kallsen and
    Muhle-Karbe [Ann. Appl. Probab., 20, 2010], we tackle this problem by
    determining a shadow price, that is, a frictionless price process with values
    in the bid-ask spread which leads to the same optimization problem. However, we
    use a different parametrization, which facilitates computation and
    verification.

  67. Optimal consumption and investment in incomplete markets with general constraints.

    Authors: Patrick Cheridito, Ying Hu
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    We study an optimal consumption and investment problem in a possibly
    incomplete market with general, not necessarily convex, stochastic constraints.
    We give explicit solutions for investors with exponential, logarithmic and
    power utility. Our approach is based on martingale methods which rely on recent
    results on the existence and uniqueness of solutions to BSDEs with drivers of
    quadratic growth.

  68. Transaction fees and optimal rebalancing in the growth-optimal portfolio.

    Authors: Matus Medo, Yi-Cheng Zhang, Yu Feng, Liang Zhang
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    The growth-optimal portfolio optimization strategy pioneered by Kelly is
    based on constant portfolio rebalancing which makes it sensitive to transaction
    fees. We examine the effect of fees on an example of a risky asset with a
    binary return distribution and show that the fees may give rise to an optimal
    period of portfolio rebalancing. The optimal period is found analytically in
    the case of lognormal returns. This result is consequently generalized and
    numerically studied for broad return distributions and returns generated by a
    GARCH process.

  69. Monte Carlo Portfolio Optimization for General Investor Risk-Return Objectives and Arbitrary Return Distributions: a Solution for Long-only Portfolios.

    Authors: William T. Shaw
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    We develop the idea of using Monte Carlo sampling of random portfolios to
    solve portfolio investment problems. In this first paper we explore the need
    for more general optimization tools, and consider the means by which
    constrained random portfolios may be generated. A practical scheme for the
    long-only fully-invested problem is developed and tested for the classic QP
    application.

  70. Belief Propagation Algorithm for Portfolio Optimization Problems.

    Authors: Takashi Shinzato, Muneki Yasuda
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    The typical behavior of optimal solutions to portfolio optimization problems
    with absolute deviation and expected shortfall models using replica analysis
    was pioneeringly estimated by S. Ciliberti and M. M\'ezard [Eur. Phys. B. 57,
    175 (2007)]; however, they have not yet developed an approximate derivation
    method for finding the optimal portfolio with respect to a given return set.

  71. Horizon dependence of utility optimizers in incomplete models.

    Authors: Hang Yu, Kasper Larsen
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    This paper studies the utility maximization problem with changing time
    horizons in the incomplete Brownian setting. We first show that the primal
    value function and the optimal terminal wealth are continuous with respect to
    the time horizon $T$. Secondly, we exemplify that the expected utility stemming
    from applying the $T$-horizon optimizer on a shorter time horizon $S$, $S < T$,
    may not converge as $S\uparrow T$ to the $T$-horizon value. Finally, we provide
    necessary and sufficient conditions preventing the existence of this
    phenomenon.

  72. A Note on Sparse Minimum Variance Portfolios and Coordinate-Wise Descent Algorithms.

    Authors: Yu-Min Yen
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    In this short report, we discuss how coordinate-wise descent algorithms can
    be used to solve minimum variance portfolio (MVP) problems in which the
    portfolio weights are constrained by $l_{q}$ norms, where $1\leq q \leq 2$. A
    portfolio which weights are regularised by such norms is called a sparse
    portfolio (Brodie et al.), since these constraints facilitate sparsity (zero
    components) of the weight vector. We first consider a case when the portfolio
    weights are regularised by a weighted $l_{1}$ and squared $l_{2}$ norm.

  73. Robust maximization of asymptotic growth.

    Authors: Constantinos Kardaras, Scott Robertson
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    This paper addresses the question of how to invest in an extremely robust
    growth-optimal way in a market where the instantaneous expected return of the
    underlying process is unknown. The optimal investment strategy is identified
    using a generalized version of the principle eigenfunction for an elliptic
    second-order differential operator which depends on the covariance structure of
    the underlying process used for investing.

  74. Statistically Optimal Strategy Analysis of a Competing Portfolio Market with a Polyvariant Profit Function.

    Authors: Bohdan Yu. Kyshakevych, Anatoliy K. Prykarpatsky, Denis Blackmore, Ivan P. Tverdokhlib
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    A competing market model with a polyvariant profit function that assumes
    "zeitnot" stock behavior of clients is formulated within the banking portfolio
    medium and then analyzed from the perspective of devising optimal strategies.
    An associated Markov process method for finding an optimal choice strategy for
    monovariant and bivariant profit functions is developed.

  75. Robust and Adaptive Algorithms for Online Portfolio Selection.

    Authors: Theodoros Tsagaris, Ajay Jasra, Niall Adams
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    We present an online approach to portfolio selection. The motivation is
    within the context of algorithmic trading, which demands fast and recursive
    updates of portfolio allocations, as new data arrives. In particular, we look
    at two online algorithms: Robust-Exponentially Weighted Least Squares (R-EWRLS)
    and a regularized Online minimum Variance algorithm (O-VAR). Our methods use
    simple ideas from signal processing and statistics, which are sometimes
    overlooked in the empirical financial literature.

  76. An Econophysics Model for the Currency Exchange with Commission.

    Authors: Ion Spanulescu, Victor A. Stoica, Ion Popescu
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    In this paper an econophysics model for the currency exchange operations with
    commission is proposed. With this purpose some analogies and similarities of
    the processes that take place in the frame of the electrochemical system made
    from electrodes sunk into a solution of electrolytes and the process of the
    currency exchange and determination of the international currency purchasing
    power have been used.

  77. Optimal Liquidation Strategies Regularize Portfolio Selection.

    Authors: Fabio Caccioli, Matteo Marsili, Susanne Still, Imre Kondor
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    We consider the problem of portfolio optimization in the presence of market
    impact, and derive optimal liquidation strategies. We discuss in detail the
    problem of finding the optimal portfolio under Expected Shortfall (ES) in the
    case of linear market impact. We show that, once market impact is taken into
    account, a regularized version of the usual optimization problem naturally
    emerges. We characterize the typical behavior of the optimal liquidation
    strategies, in the limit of large portfolio sizes, and show how the market
    impact removes the instability of ES in this context.

  78. Dividend problem with Parisian delay for a spectrally negative L\'evy risk process.

    Authors: Irmina Czarna, Zbigniew Palmowski
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    In this paper we consider dividend problem for an insurance company whose
    risk evolves as a spectrally negative L\'{e}vy process (in the absence of
    dividend payments) when Parisian delay is applied. The objective function is
    given by the cumulative discounted dividends received until the moment of ruin
    when so-called barrier strategy is applied. Additionally we will consider two
    possibilities of delay. In the first scenario ruin happens when the surplus
    process stays below zero longer than fixed amount of time $\zeta>0$.

  79. Illiquidity Effects in Optimal Consumption-Investment Problems.

    Authors: Michael Ludkovski, Hyekyung Min
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    We study the effect of liquidity freezes on an economic agent optimizing her
    utility of consumption in a perturbed Black-Scholes-Merton model. The single
    risky asset follows a geometric Brownian motion but is subject to liquidity
    shocks, during which no trading is possible and stock dynamics are modified.
    The liquidity regime is governed by a two-state Markov chain. We derive the
    asymptotic effect of such freezes on optimal consumption and investment
    schedules in the two cases of (i) small probability of liquidity shock; (ii)
    fast-scale liquidity regime switching.

  80. Managing Derivative Exposure.

    Authors: Ulrich Kirchner
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    We present an approach to derivative exposure management based on subjective
    and implied probabilities. We suggest to maximize the valuation difference
    subject to risk constraints and propose a class of risk measures derived from
    the subjective distribution. We illustrate this process with specific examples
    for the two and three dimensional case. In these cases the optimization can be
    performed graphically.

  81. Multiplicative approximation of wealth processes involving no-short-sale strategies via simple trading.

    Authors: Eckhard Platen, Constantinos Kardaras
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    A financial market model with general semimartingale asset-price processes
    and where agents can only trade using no-short-sales strategies is considered.
    We show that wealth processes using continuous trading can be approximated very
    closely by wealth processes using simple combinations of buy-and-hold trading.
    This approximation is based on controlling the proportions of wealth invested
    in the assets.

  82. Minimizing the Probability of Lifetime Ruin under Stochastic Volatility.

    Authors: Erhan Bayraktar, Virginia R. Young, Xueying Hu
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    We assume that an individual invests in a financial market with one riskless
    and one risky asset, with the latter's price following a diffusion with
    stochastic volatility. In the current financial market especially, it is
    important to include stochastic volatility in the risky asset's price process.
    Given the rate of consumption, we find the optimal investment strategy for the
    individual who wishes to minimize the probability of going bankrupt. To solve
    this minimization problem, we use techniques from stochastic optimal control.

  83. Utility Maximization of an Indivisible Market with Transaction Costs.

    Authors: Qingshuo Song, G. Yin, Chao Zhu
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    This work takes up the challenges of utility maximization problem when the
    market is indivisible and the transaction costs are included. First there is a
    so-called solvency region given by the minimum margin requirement in the
    problem formulation. Then the associated utility maximization is formulated as
    an optimal switching problem. The diffusion turns out to be degenerate and the
    boundary of domain is an unbounded set.

  84. Jump-Diffusion Risk-Sensitive Asset Management.

    Authors: Mark H.A. Davis, Sebastien Lleo
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    This paper considers a portfolio optimization problem in which asset prices
    are represented by SDEs driven by Brownian motion and a Poisson random measure,
    with drifts that are functions of an auxiliary diffusion 'factor' process.

  85. Risk Sensitive Investment Management with Affine Processes: a Viscosity Approach.

    Authors: Mark Davis, Sebastien Lleo
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    In this paper, we extend the jump-diffusion model proposed by Davis and Lleo
    to include jumps in asset prices as well as valuation factors. The criterion,
    following earlier work by Bielecki, Pliska, Nagai and others, is risk-sensitive
    optimization (equivalent to maximizing the expected growth rate subject to a
    constraint on variance.) In this setting, the Hamilton- Jacobi-Bellman equation
    is a partial integro-differential PDE. The main result of the paper is to show
    that the value function of the control problem is the unique viscosity solution
    of the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation.

  86. Optimal investment with bounded VaR for power utility functions.

    Authors: Serguei Pergamenchtchikov, B&#xe9;namar Chouaf
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    We consider the optimal investment problem for Black-Scholes type financial
    market with bounded VaR measure on the whole investment interval $[0,T]$. The
    explicit form for the optimal strategies is found.

  87. Optimal consumption and investment with bounded downside risk for power utility functions.

    Authors: Serguei Pergamenchtchikov, Claudia Kluppelberg
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    We investigate optimal consumption and investment problems for a
    Black-Scholes market under uniform restrictions on Value-at-Risk and Expected
    Shortfall. We formulate various utility maximization problems, which can be
    solved explicitly. We compare the optimal solutions in form of optimal value,
    optimal control and optimal wealth to analogous problems under additional
    uniform risk bounds. Our proofs are partly based on solutions to
    Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equations, and we prove a corresponding verification
    theorem.

  88. Optimal consumption and investment with bounded downside risk measures for logarithmic utility functions.

    Authors: Serguei Pergamenchtchikov, Claudia Kluppelberg
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    We investigate optimal consumption problems for a Black-Scholes market under
    uniform restrictions on Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall for logarithmic
    utility functions. We find the solutions in terms of a dynamic strategy in
    explicit form, which can be compared and interpreted. This paper continues our
    previous work, where we solved similar problems for power utility functions.

  89. Rentes en cours de service : un nouveau crit\`ere d'allocation d'actif.

    Authors: Fr&#xe9;d&#xe9;ric Planchet, Pierre-Emanuel Th&#xe9;rond
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    The aim of this paper is to compare two asset allocation methods for a
    pension scheme during the decumulation phase in the simplified portfolio
    selection between a risky asset following a geometric Brownian motion and a
    riskless asset. The two asset allocation criteria are the ruin probability of
    the insurance company and the optimization of the economic capital. We first
    solve the asset allocation problem with deterministic pension payments then
    with stochastic mortality risk. We analyze the part of mortality risk in the
    global risk of the company.

  90. Risk-Sensitive Asset Management in a Jump-Diffusion Factor Model.

    Authors: Mark Davis Sebastien Lleo
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    In this article we extend earlier work on the jump-diffusion risk-sensitive
    asset management problem by allowing for jumps in both the factor process and
    the asset prices as well as stochastic volatility and investment constraints.
    In this case, the HJB equation is a PIDE. By combining viscosity solutions with
    a change of notation, a policy improvement argument and classical results on
    parabolic PDEs we prove that the PIDE admits a unique smooth solution. A
    verification theorem concludes the resolutions of this problem.

  91. Risk Aversion and Portfolio Selection in a Continuous-Time Model.

    Authors: Jianming Xia
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    The comparative statics of the optimal portfolios across individuals is
    carried out for a continuous-time complete market model, where the risky assets
    price process follows a joint geometric Brownian motion with time-dependent and
    deterministic coefficients. It turns out that the indirect utility functions
    inherit the order of risk aversion (in the Arrow-Pratt sense) from the von
    Neumann-Morgenstern utility functions, and therefore, a more risk-averse agent
    would invest less wealth (in absolute value) in the risky assets.

  92. On Asymptotic Power Utility-Based Pricing and Hedging.

    Authors: Jan Kallsen, Johannes Muhle-Karbe, Richard Vierthauer
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    Kramkov and Sirbu (2006, 2007) have shown that first-order approximations of
    power utility-based prices and hedging strategies can be computed by solving a
    mean-variance hedging problem under a specific equivalent martingale measure
    and relative to a suitable numeraire. In order to avoid the introduction of an
    additional state variable necessitated by the change of numeraire, we propose
    an alternative representation in terms of the original numeraire.

  93. Multiple defaults and contagion risks.

    Authors: Ying Jiao
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    We study multiple defaults where the global market information is modelled as
    progressive enlargement of filtrations. We shall provide a general pricing
    formula by establishing a relationship between the enlarged filtration and the
    reference default-free filtration in the random measure framework. On each
    default scenario, the formula can be interpreted as a Radon-Nikodym derivative
    of random measures.

  94. Power Utility Maximization in Constrained Exponential L\'evy Models.

    Authors: Marcel Nutz
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    We study power utility maximization for exponential L\'evy models with
    portfolio constraints, where utility is obtained from consumption and/or
    terminal wealth. For convex constraints, an explicit solution in terms of the
    L\'evy triplet is constructed under minimal assumptions by solving the Bellman
    equation. We use a novel transformation of the model to avoid technical
    conditions. The consequences for q-optimal martingale measures are discussed as
    well as extensions to non-convex constraints.

  95. The Bellman Equation for Power Utility Maximization with Semimartingales.

    Authors: Marcel Nutz
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    We study utility maximization for power utility random fields with and
    without intermediate consumption in a general semimartingale model with closed
    portfolio constraints. We show that any optimal strategy leads to a solution of
    the corresponding Bellman equation. The optimal strategies are described
    pointwise in terms of the opportunity process, which is characterized as the
    minimal solution of the Bellman equation. We also give verification theorems
    for this equation.

  96. The Opportunity Process for Optimal Consumption and Investment with Power Utility.

    Authors: Marcel Nutz
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    We study the utility maximization problem for power utility random fields in
    a semimartingale financial market, with and without intermediate consumption.
    The notion of an opportunity process is introduced as a reduced form of the
    value process of the resulting stochastic control problem. We show how the
    opportunity process describes the key objects: optimal consumption, value
    function, and dual problem. The results are applied to obtain monotonicity
    properties of the optimal consumption.

  97. On the Existence of Shadow Prices in Finite Discrete Time.

    Authors: Jan Kallsen, Johannes Muhle-Karbe
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    A shadow price is a process lying within the bid/ask prices of a market with
    proportional transaction costs, such that maximizing expected utility from
    consumption in the frictionless market with this price process leads to the
    same maximal utility as in the original market with transaction costs. For
    finite probability spaces, this note provides an elementary proof for the
    existence of such a shadow price.

  98. Optimal execution of Portfolio transactions with geometric price process.

    Authors: Gerardo Hernandez-del-Valle, Carlos Pacheco-Gonzalez
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    In this paper we derive the optimal execution trajectory for a trader who
    wishes to buy or sell a large position of shares which evolve as a geometric
    Brownian process in contrast to the arithmetic model which prevails in the
    existing literature, and with a general temporary impact $h$. We provide a
    couple of examples which illustrate the results. We would like to stress the
    fact that in this paper we use understandable user-friendly techniques.

  99. Utility maximization in models with conditionally independent increments.

    Authors: Jan Kallsen, Johannes Muhle-Karbe
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    We consider the problem of maximizing expected utility from terminal wealth
    in models with stochastic factors. Using martingale methods and a conditioning
    argument, we determine the optimal strategy for power utility under the
    assumption that the increments of the asset price are independent conditionally
    on the factor process.

  100. Mutual Fund Theorem for continuous time markets with random coefficients.

    Authors: Nikolai Dokuchaev
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    We study the optimal investment problem for a continuous time incomplete
    market model such that the risk-free rate, the appreciation rates and the
    volatility of the stocks are all random; they are assumed to be independent
    from the driving Brownian motion, and they are supposed to be currently
    observable.

  101. Optimal investment with inside information and parameter uncertainty.

    Authors: Albina Danilova, Michael Monoyios, Andrew Ng
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    An optimal investment problem is solved for an insider who has access to
    noisy information related to a future stock price, but who does not know the
    stock price drift. The drift is filtered from a combination of price
    observations and the privileged information, fusing a partial information
    scenario with enlargement of filtration techniques. We apply a variant of the
    Kalman-Bucy filter to infer a signal, given a combination of an observation
    process and some additional information.

  102. Robust utility maximization for diffusion market model with misspecified coefficients.

    Authors: R. Tevzadze, T. Toronjadze
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    The paper studies the robust maximization of utility of terminal wealth in
    the diffusion financial market model. The underlying model consists with risky
    tradable asset, whose price is described by diffusion process with misspecified
    trend and volatility coefficients, and non-tradable asset with a known
    parameter. The robust utility functional is defined in terms of a HARA utility
    function. We give explicit characterization of the solution of the problem by
    means of a solution of the HJBI equation.

  103. Proving the Regularity of the Minimal Probability of Ruin via a Game of Stopping and Control.

    Authors: Erhan Bayraktar, Virginia R. Young
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    We reveal an interesting convex duality relationship between two problems:
    (a) minimizing the probability of lifetime ruin when the rate of consumption is
    stochastic and when the individual can invest in a Black-Scholes financial
    market; (b) a controller-and-stopper problem, in which the controller controls
    the drift and volatility of a process in order to maximize a running reward
    based on that process, the stopper chooses the time to stop the running reward
    and rewards the controller a final amount at that time.

  104. Regularizing Portfolio Optimization.

    Authors: Susanne Still, Imre Kondor
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    The optimization of large portfolios displays an inherent instability to
    estimation error. This poses a fundamental problem, because solutions that are
    not stable under sample fluctuations may look optimal for a given sample, but
    are, in effect, very far from optimal with respect to the average risk. In this
    paper, we approach the problem from the point of view of statistical learning
    theory. The occurrence of the instability is intimately related to over-fitting
    which can be avoided using known regularization methods.

  105. Weakly nonlinear analysis of the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation arising from pension savings management.

    Authors: Zuzana Macova, Daniel Sevcovic
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    The main purpose of this paper is to analyze solutions to a fully nonlinear
    parabolic equation arising from the problem of optimal portfolio construction.
    We show how the problem of optimal stock to bond proportion in the management
    of pension fund portfolio can be formulated in terms of the solution to the
    Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation. We analyze the solution from qualitative as
    well as quantitative point of view. We construct useful bounds of solution
    yielding estimates for the optimal value of the stock to bond proportion in the
    portfolio.

  106. Growth-optimal investments and numeraire portfolios under transaction costs: An analysis based on the von Neumann-Gale model.

    Authors: Wael Bahsoun, Igor V. Evstigneev, Michael I. Taksar
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    The aim of this work is to extend the capital growth theory developed by
    Kelly, Breiman, Cover and others to asset market models with transaction costs.
    We define a natural generalization of the notion of a numeraire portfolio
    proposed by Long and show how such portfolios can be used for constructing
    growth-optimal investment strategies. The analysis is based on the classical
    von Neumann-Gale model of economic dynamics, a stochastic version of which we
    use as a framework for the modelling of financial markets with frictions.

  107. Growth-optimal investments and numeraire portfolios under transaction costs: An analysis based on the von Neumann-Gale model.

    Authors: Wael Bahsoun, Igor V. Evstigneev, Michael I. Taksar
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    The aim of this work is to extend the capital growth theory developed by
    Kelly, Breiman, Cover and others to asset market models with transaction costs.
    We define a natural generalization of the notion of a numeraire portfolio
    proposed by Long and show how such portfolios can be used for constructing
    growth-optimal investment strategies. The analysis is based on the classical
    von Neumann-Gale model of economic dynamics, a stochastic version of which we
    use as a framework for the modelling of financial markets with frictions.

  108. Stock Market Trading Via Stochastic Network Optimization.

    Authors: Michael J. Neely
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    We consider the problem of dynamic buying and selling of shares from a
    collection of $N$ stocks with random price fluctuations. To limit investment
    risk, we place an upper bound on the total number of shares kept at any time.
    Assuming that prices evolve according to an ergodic process with a mild
    decaying memory property, and assuming constraints on the total number of
    shares that can be bought and sold at any time, we develop a trading policy
    that comes arbitrarily close to achieving the profit of an ideal policy that
    has perfect knowledge of future events.

  109. Portfolio Optimization Under Uncertainty.

    Authors: Alex Dannenberg
    Subjects: Portfolio Management
    Abstract

    Classical mean-variance portfolio theory tells us how to construct a
    portfolio of assets which has the greatest expected return for a given level of
    return volatility. Utility theory then allows an investor to choose the point
    along this efficient frontier which optimally balances her desire for excess
    expected return against her reluctance to bear risk. The means and covariances
    of the distributions of future asset returns are assumed to be known, so the
    only source of uncertainty is the stochastic piece of the price evolution.

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