Marginal log-linear (MLL) models provide a flexible approach to multivariate
discrete data. MLL parametrizations under linear constraints induce a wide
variety of models, including models defined by conditional independences. We
introduce a sub-class of MLL models which correspond to Acyclic Directed Mixed
Graphs (ADMGs) under the usual global Markov property. We characterize for
precisely which graphs the resulting parametrization is variation independent.
The MLL approach provides the first description of ADMG models in terms of a
minimal list of constraints.
Acyclic directed mixed graphs, also known as semi-Markov models represent the
conditional independence structure induced on an observed margin by a DAG model
with latent variables. In this paper we present the first method for fitting
these models to binary data using maximum likelihood estimation.
Probabilistic inference in graphical models is the task of computing marginal
and conditional densities of interest from a factorized representation of a
joint probability distribution. Inference algorithms such as variable
elimination and belief propagation take advantage of constraints embedded in
this factorization to compute such densities efficiently. In this paper, we
propose an algorithm which computes interventional distributions in latent
variable causal models represented by acyclic directed mixed graphs(ADMGs).
We consider the problem of learning causal information between random
variables in DAGs when allowing arbitrarily many latent and selection
variables. The FCI algorithm (Spirtes et al., 1999) has been explicitly
designed to infer conditional independence and causal information in such
settings. However, FCI is computationally infeasible for large graphs. We
therefore propose a new algorithm, the RFCI algorithm, which is much faster
than FCI. In some situations the output of RFCI is slightly less informative,
in particular with respect to conditional independence information.
Ancestral graphs can encode conditional independence relations that arise in
directed acyclic graph (DAG) models with latent and selection variables.
However, for any ancestral graph, there may be several other graphs to which it
is Markov equivalent. We state and prove conditions under which two maximal
ancestral graphs are Markov equivalent to each other, thereby extending
analogous results for DAGs given by other authors. These conditions lead to an
algorithm for determining Markov equivalence that runs in time that is
polynomial in the number of vertices in the graph.