Wei Biao Wu

  1. Exact Moderate and Large Deviations for Linear Processes.

    Authors: Wei Biao Wu, Hailin Sang, Magda Peligrada, Yunda Zhong
    Subjects: Statistics
    Abstract

    Large and moderate deviation probabilities play an important role in many
    applied areas, such as insurance and risk analysis. This paper studies the
    exact moderate and large deviation asymptotics in non-logarithmic form for
    linear processes with independent innovations. The linear processes we analyze
    are general and therefore they include the long memory case.

  2. Covariance Matrix Estimation for Stationary Time Series.

    Authors: Wei Biao Wu, Han Xiao
    Subjects: Statistics
    Abstract

    We obtain a sharp convergence rate for banded covariance matrix estimates of
    stationary processes. A precise order of magnitude is derived for spectral
    radius of sample covariance matrices. We also consider thresholded covariance
    matrix estimator that can better characterize sparsity if the true covariance
    matrix is sparse. As our main tool, we implement Toeplitz (1911)'s idea and
    relate eigenvalues of covariance matrices to the spectral densities or Fourier
    transforms of the covariances.

  3. Asymptotic Inference of Autocovariances of Stationary Processes.

    Authors: Wei Biao Wu, Han Xiao
    Subjects: Statistics
    Abstract

    The paper presents a systematic theory for asymptotic inference of
    autocovariances of stationary processes. We consider nonparametric tests for
    serial correlations based on the maximum (or ${\cal L}^\infty$) and the
    quadratic (or ${\cal L}^2$) deviations. For these two cases, with proper
    centering and rescaling, the asymptotic distributions of the deviations are
    Gumbel and Gaussian, respectively. To establish such an asymptotic theory, as
    byproducts, we develop a normal comparison principle and propose a sufficient
    condition for summability of joint cumulants of stationary processes.

  4. Simultaneous nonparametric inference of time series.

    Authors: Wei Biao Wu, Weidong Liu
    Subjects: Statistics
    Abstract

    We consider kernel estimation of marginal densities and regression functions
    of stationary processes. It is shown that for a wide class of time series, with
    proper centering and scaling, the maximum deviations of kernel density and
    regression estimates are asymptotically Gumbel. Our results substantially
    generalize earlier ones which were obtained under independence or beta mixing
    assumptions.

  5. Testing Parallelism of Nonparametric Regression Curves.

    Authors: Wei Biao Wu, David Degras, Zhiwei Xu, Ting Zhang
    Subjects: Methodology
    Abstract

    This paper considers the inference of regression functions in the context of
    multiple time series. For an arbitrary number of time series observed at a
    large number of time points, we test the hypothesis that the regression curves
    are parallel to each other. A central limit theorem is obtained for a
    parallelism index based on the distances between the estimates of the
    regression curves and their average. To implement the testing procedure, we
    propose a simulation-based approach that significantly improves upon the normal
    approximation to the test statistic.

  6. Efficient estimation of copula-based semiparametric Markov models.

    Authors: Wei Biao Wu, Xiaohong Chen, Yanping Yi
    Subjects: Statistics
    Abstract

    This paper considers the efficient estimation of copula-based semiparametric
    strictly stationary Markov models. These models are characterized by
    nonparametric invariant (one-dimensional marginal) distributions and parametric
    bivariate copula functions where the copulas capture temporal dependence and
    tail dependence of the processes. The Markov processes generated via tail
    dependent copulas may look highly persistent and are useful for financial and
    economic applications.

  7. Central limit theorem for Fourier transform of stationary processes.

    Authors: Wei Biao Wu, Magda Peligrad
    Subjects: Probability
    Abstract

    We consider asymptotic behavior of Fourier transforms of stationary ergodic
    sequences with finite second moments. We establish the central limit theorem
    (CLT) for almost all frequencies and also the annealed CLT. The theorems hold
    for all regular sequences. Our results shed new light on the foundation of
    spectral analysis and on the asymptotic distribution of periodogram, and it
    provides a nice blend of harmonic analysis, theory of stationary processes and
    theory of martingales.

  8. Recursive estimation of time-average variance constants.

    Authors: Wei Biao Wu
    Subjects: Probability
    Abstract

    For statistical inference of means of stationary processes, one needs to
    estimate their time-average variance constants (TAVC) or long-run variances.
    For a stationary process, its TAVC is the sum of all its covariances and it is
    a multiple of the spectral density at zero. The classical TAVC estimate which
    is based on batched means does not allow recursive updates and the required
    memory complexity is O(n). We propose a faster algorithm which recursively
    computes the TAVC, thus having memory complexity of order O(1) and the
    computational complexity scales linearly in $n$.

  9. Local linear quantile estimation for nonstationary time series.

    Authors: Zhou Zhou, Wei Biao Wu
    Subjects: gr. Statistics
    Abstract

    We consider estimation of quantile curves for a general class of
    nonstationary processes. Consistency and central limit results are obtained for
    local linear quantile estimates under a mild short-range dependence condition.
    Our results are applied to environmental data sets. In particular, our results
    can be used to address the problem of whether climate variability has changed,
    an important problem raised by IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change)
    in 2001.

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