We develop a finite horizon continuous time market model, where risk averse
investors maximize utility from terminal wealth by dynamically investing in a
risk-free money market account, a stock written on a default-free dividend
process, and a defaultable bond, whose prices are determined via equilibrium.
We analyze financial contagion arising endogenously between the stock and the
defaultable bond via the interplay between equilibrium behavior of investors,
risk preferences and cyclicality properties of the default intensity.
We analyze pricing and portfolio optimization problems in defaultable regime
switching markets. We contribute to both of these problems by obtaining novel
characterizations of option prices and optimal portfolio strategies under
regime-switching. Using our option price representation, we develop a novel
efficient method to price claims which may depend on the full path of the
underlying Markov chain. This is done via a change of probability measure and a
short-time asymptotic expansion of the claim' s price in terms of the Laplace
transforms of the symmetric Dirichlet distribution.
We consider a portfolio optimization problem in a defaultable market with
finitely-many economical regimes, where the investor can dynamically allocate
her wealth among a defaultable bond, a stock, and a money market account. The
market coefficients are assumed to depend on the market regime in place, which
is modeled by a finite state continuous time Markov process. We rigorously
deduce the dynamics of the defaultable bond price process in terms of a Markov
modulated stochastic differential equation.
This paper generalizes the framework for arbitrage-free valuation of
bilateral counterparty risk to the case where collateral is included, with
possible re-hypotecation. We analyze how the payout of claims is modified when
collateral margining is included in agreement with current ISDA documentation.
We then specialize our analysis to interest-rate swaps as underlying portfolio,
and allow for mutual dependences between the default times of the investor and
the counterparty and the underlying portfolio risk factors.
We review different approaches for measuring the impact of liquidity on CDS
prices. We start with reduced form models incorporating liquidity as an
additional discount rate. We review Chen, Fabozzi and Sverdlove (2008) and
Buhler and Trapp (2006, 2008), adopting different assumptions on how liquidity
rates enter the CDS premium rate formula, about the dynamics of liquidity rate
processes and about the credit-liquidity correlation.
We introduce the general arbitrage-free valuation framework for counterparty
risk adjustments in presence of bilateral default risk, including default of
the investor. We illustrate the symmetry in the valuation and show that the
adjustment involves a long position in a put option plus a short position in a
call option, both with zero strike and written on the residual net value of the
contract at the relevant default times. We allow for correlation between the
default times of the investor, counterparty and underlying portfolio risk
factors.