High-dimensional covariance estimation based on Gaussian graphical models.

link: http://arxiv.org/abs/1009.0530
Abstract

Undirected graphs are often used to describe high dimensional distributions.
Under sparsity conditions, the graph can be estimated using
{\ell}1-penalization methods. We propose and study the following method. We
combine a multiple regression approach with ideas of thresholding and
refitting: first we infer a sparse undirected graphical model structure via
thresholding of each among many {\ell}1-norm penalized regression functions; we
then estimate the covariance matrix and its inverse using the maximum
likelihood estimator. We show under suitable conditions that this approach
yields consistent estimation in terms of graphical structure and fast
convergence rates with respect to the Frobenius norm for the covariance matrix
and its inverse. We also derive an explicit bound for the Kullback Leibler
divergence.